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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - 9/11/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boston Red Sox (66-73) at Tampa Bay Rays (68-71)

MLB Baseball: Friday, September 11, 2015 at 7:10 pm (Tropicana Field)

W Miley (11-10) (4.43) vs. C Archer (12-11) (2.88)

The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -167 / Boston Red Sox +157 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds

TV: NESN, SUN

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox face off on Friday at Tropicana Field for game one of their MLB series of American League East teams.

The Tampa Bay Rays have played well for the most part this season but they are going to fall short of the post-season. The Rays are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 33-35 at home, and they are 11 games back in the AL East. As a team the Rays are hitting .250 with Logan Forsythe hitting .287, Evan Longoria hitting .273, and Asdrubal Cabrera hitting .264. The Rays pitching staff has an ERA of 3.68 with the starters at 3.65 and the bullpen at 3.74. For game one against the Red Sox the Rays start Chris Archer who has allowed 148 hits and 60 earned runs while striking out 228 over 187.1 innings for a 12-11 record and a 2.88 ERA.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - 9/11/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox are in last place in the American League East but they have been more competitive since the All Star Break. The Red Sox are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 27-38 on the road, and they are 13 games back in the AL East. As a team the Red Sox are hitting .267 with Xander Bogaerts hitting .318, Mookie Betts hitting .286, and Brock Holt hitting .279. The Red Sox pitching staff has an ERA of 4.50 with the starters at 4.57 and the bullpen at 4.39. For game one against the Rays the Red Sox start Wade Miley who has allowed 174 hits and 83 earned runs while striking out 129 over 168.2 innings for an 11-10 record and a 4.43 ERA.

Tampa Bay is 8-1 at home against a left-handed starter, 2-5 in their last seven games, and 2-5 in Archer’s last seven starts in game one of a series. Boston is 5-1 in their last six games, 2-7 in their last nine road games against a team with a losing home record, and 0-5 in Miley’s last five road starts. Tampa Bay is 0-4 in Archer’s last four starts against the Red Sox.

The total is set at 7.0 and I am not expecting much offense here so my free pick is Under. My stronger pick is on the winning team and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as on the App.

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Under 7

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