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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - 9/29/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Mets (89-67) at Philadelphia Phillies (59-97)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, September 29, 2015 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

B Colon (14-12) (4.15) vs. D Buchanan (2-9) (7.96)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies +157 / New York Mets -167 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: SNY

The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets face off on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Ballpark for game one of their MLB series of National League East rivals.

The Philadelphia Phillies have the worst record in baseball as they close out the final week of the season. The Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 games, 33-42 at home, and they are 30 games back in the NL East. As a team the Phillies are hitting .248 with Odubel Herrera hitting .287, Freddy Galvis hitting .265, and Jeff Francoeur hitting .260. The Phillies pitching staff has an ERA of 4.75 with the starters at 5.26 and the bullpen at 3.89. For game one against the Mets the Phillies start David Buchanan who has allowed 97 hits and 56 runs while striking out 34 over 63.1 innings for a 2-9 record and a 7.96 ERA.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - 9/29/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets have clinched the NL East and they are looking at home field advantage for the ALDS. The Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 41-37 on the road, and they have won their last four games. As a team the Mets are hitting .247 with David Wright hitting .307, Yoenis Cespedes hitting .294, and Daniel Murphy hitting .285. The Mets pitching staff has an ERA of 3.46 with the starters at 3.47 and the bullpen at 3.45. For game one at Philadelphia the Mets start Bartolo Colon who has allowed 209 hits and 87 earned runs while striking out 132 over 188.2 innings for a 14-12 record and a 4.15 ERA.

Philadelphia is 7-19 in their last 26 games, 2-6 in their last eight home games, and 5-21 in Buchanan’s last 26 starts. New York is 24-5 in their last 29 road games, 19-7 in game one of a series, and 5-2 Colon’s last seven starts. New York is 36-15 and the last 51 meetings of these two.

With the total set at 8.5 the over is the best play in this one as we should see plenty of runs with both of these teams rested and ready to play out the final week.  

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Over 8.5

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