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Phillies vs. Marlins - 10/4/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins (70-90) at Philadelphia Phillies (62-98)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, October 4, 2015 at 3:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Adam Conley (4-1) (3.84) vs. D Buchanan (2-9) (7.54)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies +112 / Miami Marlins -122 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSFL/CSPh

The Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies end their regular season Sunday afternoon.

The Miami Marlins look for a win after winning seven of their last 10 games. The Marlins have scored 13 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last eight games. The Marlins have won six of their last seven when scoring more than three runs. Dee Gordon leads Miami with 200 hits and 45 RBI while Martin Prado and Christian Yelich have combined for 106 RBI. The Miami Marlins have lost six of their last eight road games. Adam Conley gets the nod, and he’s 4-1 with a 3.84 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. Conley is 0-1 with a 1.50 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Phillies.

Phillies vs. Marlins - 10/4/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies look for a win after winning five of their last eight games. The Phillies have scored 12 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last eight games. The Phillies have won five of their last six when scoring more than three runs. Freddy Galvis leads Philly with 147 hits and 49 RBI while Odubel Herrera and Ryan Howard have combined for 118 RBI. The Philadelphia Phillies have lost five of their last eight home games. David Buchanan takes the hill, and he’s 2-9 with a 7.54 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Buchanan is 1-0 with a 2.49 ERA and seven strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.

The Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League East and 5-1 in Conleys last 6 starts. The Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series and 6-21 in Buchanans last 27 starts. The Marlins are 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in Philadelphia.

Conley has been really solid since becoming a rotation pitcher for the fish, and Miami just swept the Phillies in a doubleheader Saturday. There's no confidence in taking the Phillies, so my pick is on the Marlins.

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Miami Marlins -122

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