Rangers at Blue Jays - 10/8/15 ALDS Game One Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas Rangers (88-74) at Toronto Blue Jays (93-69)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, October 8, 2015 at 3:33 pm (Rogers Centre)
Yovani Gallardo vs. D Price (18-5) (2.53)
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -225 / Texas Rangers +207 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
TV: FOX Sports 1
The Texas Rangers and Toronto Blue Jays play game one of the ALDS Thursday.
The Texas Rangers finished the regular season with a 88-74 record and have split their last 10 games. The Rangers had a team ERA that was good for 23rd in the league, proving that Texas is simply in the postseason because of its offense. Prince Fielder, Mitch Moreland, Adrian Beltre and Shin-Soo Choo are the four Texas players that racked up 82 or more RBI. The Rangers can flat out put runs on the board, and that gives them a shot against anybody in a series. The Texas Rangers also have some luck when sneaking into the postseason, as two of their last three appearances have resulted in trips to the World Series. Yovani Gallardo gets the ball, and he’s 13-11 with a 3.42 ERA and 121 strikeouts this season. Gallardo is 3-0 with a 1.33 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Blue Jays.
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The Toronto Blue Jays finished the regular season with a 93-69 record and have won six of their last 10 games. The Blue Jays are also in the postseason because of an offense that put up a league best 891 runs and 232 homeruns. The Blue Jays are an offensive team on steroids, as Josh Donaldson, Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion are the three Toronto players with more than 100 RBI. The Blue Jays can simply drop six or more runs at the drop of a hat, and they’ve done just that 10 times since the beginning of September. David Price takes the hill, and he’s 18-5 with a 2.45 ERA and 225 strikeouts this season. Price is 3-4 with a 5.15 ERA and 59 strikeouts in his career against the Rangers.
Talk about a huge line for a playoff game, huh? While Price and the Blue Jays are on fire and the home crowd will certainly help things, I'm not laying this muc chalk in a playoff game, especially when Gallardo has owned the Blue Jays in a short sample size. Instead, I'm siding with the over. While both aces on the hill, these teams can flat out rake. The over to me is the best possible pick in this spot.