Blue Jays at Royals - 10/16/15 ALCS Game One Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Royals vs. Blue Jays
MLB Baseball: Friday, October 16, 2015 at 8:07 pm (Kauffman Stadium)
Marco Estrada vs. Edinson Volquez
The Line: --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Toronto Blue Jays and Kansas City Royals play game one of the ALCS Friday night.
The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a five-game series win over the Texas Rangers and are playing in their first ALCS since 1993. The Blue Jays are back to relying on heir offense, as they’ve scored a combined 19 runs in their last three games and have won 17 of their last 21 games when scoring more than three runs. Ben Revere and Kevin Pillar have combined for 14 hits and five RBI while Jose Bautista has two home runs. The Blue Jays pitching staff has a postseason ERA of 3.06 and have 39 strikeouts in five games. The Blue Jays currently have the best postseason ERA of any team left. Marco Estrada gets the ball, and he’s 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA and four strikeouts this postseason.
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The Kansas City Royals are coming off a five-game series over the Houston Astros and are playing in their second straight ALCS. The Royals have scored 16 runs in their last two games and have won seven straight games when scoring more than three runs. Alcides Escobar and Ben Zobrist have combined for 12 hits and two RBI while Kendrys Morales has three home runs. The Royals pitching staff has struck out 58 batters, but a postseason ERA of 4.30 is the worst of any team left. The Kansas City Royals have split their last 10 home games. Edinson Volquez takes the hill, and he’s 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA and eight strikeouts this postseason.
The Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series and 19-7 in their last 26 games following an off day. The Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 League Championship games and 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day. The Blue Jays are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Kansas City.
I think we're starting to see the Royals ease back into being that team we saw last season. The offense and clutch play is picking up that wasn't there earlier. The Blue Jays continue to be up and down as of late, and I'm not sure I can trust them on the road against such a postseason experienced team. Also, the Blue Jays are coming off such an emotional game with a quick turnaround.
I'm going to side with the Royals for game one.