Cubs at Mets - 10/17/15 NLCS Game One Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Mets vs. Cubs
MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 17, 2015 at 8:07 pm (Citi Field)
Jon Lester vs. Matt Harvey
The Line: --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Chicago Cubs and New York Mets play game one of the NLCS Saturday night.
The Chicago Cubs are coming off a four-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals and are are playing in their first NLCS since 2003. The Cubs have been an offensive machine lately, producing 20 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in eight of their last 11 games. Kyle Schwarber and Dexter Fowler have combined for 13 hits and eight RBI while Jorge Soler has homered twice. The Cubs pitching staff has an ERA of 3.48 and has struck out 59 batters in five games. The Chicago Cubs have won 11 of their last 12 road games. Jon Lester gets the nod, and he’s 0-1 with a 3.68 ERA and nine strikeouts this postseason.
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The New York Mets are coming off a five-game series over the Los Angeles Dodgers and are playing in their first NLCS since 2006. The Mets pitching staff has allowed three or less runs in seven of their last nine games. The Mets have won 10 of their last 14 games when allowing three or less runs, and they have a team ERA of 3.48 in five games. Offensively, Daniel Murphy and Curtis Granderson have combined for 14 hits and 10 RBI while Yoenis Cespedes has homered twice. The New York Mets have lost seven of their last 10 home games. Matt Harvey takes the hill, and he’s 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and seven strikeouts this postseason.
The Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 road games and 2-5 in their last 7 playoff road games. The Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 games following an off day and 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games. The Cubs are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in New York and 21-7 in the last 28 meetings overall.
Harvey is usually automatic when pitching at home and the Mets have to be feeling really good about themselves after winning a big game five at Dodger Stadium.
While the Cubs have proven themselves as a team you can't look over, I like Harvey over Lester and think the Mets get the job done here.