Mets at Cubs - 10/21/15 NLCS Game Four Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Mets (95-74) at Chicago Cubs (101-68)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, October 21, 2015 at 8:07 pm (Wrigley Field)
Steven Matz (4-1) (2.66) vs. J Hammel (10-7) (3.78)
The Line: Chicago Cubs / New York Mets --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The New York Mets and Chicago Cubs play game four of the NLCS Wednesday night.
The New York Mets can advance to their first World Series since 2000 with a victory here. The Mets have allowed three or less runs in five straight games and just five runs in this series. The Mets have won 15 of their last 19 games overall when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Daniel Murphy leads the Mets with 12 hits and nine RBI while Yoenis Cespedes and Curtis Granderson have combined for 14 RBI. The Mets continue to put together good at bats and have scored four or more runs in four of their last six games. The New York Mets have now won 15 of their last 10 road games. Steven Matz gets the nod, and he’s 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and four strikeouts this postseason.
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The Chicago Cubs need a win here in order to force a game five Thursday night. The Cubs just can’t put enough offense together, as they’ve scored just five runs in their last three games and continue to rely only on the home run. The Cubs have hit 15 homers this postseason, but that’s pretty much all of their offense and it’s killing them in this series. Dexter Fowler and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 18 hits and 10 RBI while Jorge Soler has homered three times. The Cubs pitching staff has allowed four or more runs in five straight games, and Chicago has now lost seven of its last 10 games when that’s the case. The Chicago Cubs have won six of their last 10 home games. Jason Hammel takes the hill, and he’s 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA and two strikeouts this postseason.
The Mets are 21-6 in their last 27 road games and 5-2 in Matzs last 7 starts. The Cubs are 4-0 in Hammels last 4 starts with 7 or more days of rest and 8-2 in Hammels last 10 starts vs. National League East. The Mets are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Chicago.
I'm not sure what to make of the Cubs anymore, as this team can't score at all if they're not hitting the long ball. Also, Matz is a pretty solid pitcher. So, based on what we've seen so far this series, it's hard not to back the Mets here. The Cubs haven't shown us anything different so far.