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Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres - 4/14/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Diego Padres (3-5) at Philadelphia Phillies (3-5)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, April 14, 2016 at 1:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

D Pomeranz (1-0) (3.60) vs. Vincent Velasquez (1-0) (0.00)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -131 / San Diego Padres +121 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSSD, CSPh

Coming up Thursday afternoon, we’ve got another matchup between the Padres and the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
This will be game four of the series between these two teams. On Monday, the Padres took the opening victory 4-3, but on Tuesday Philly evened it up at 1-1 with a 3-0 shutout win. In Wednesday’s game, San Diego got a short two-out rally going in the ninth inning, but couldn’t tie it up and the Phillies won again 2-1.

For Thursday’s series finale, the Padres will be wheeling out left-hander Drew Pomeranz. In his first start of the 2016 season, Pomeranz put up a victory against the Rockies back on Thursday. In that one, Pomeranz gave up two earned and walked three in five innings of work.
Up at the plate, the Padres have a few familiar faces that will give the team a blend of speed and power this year. Jon Jay has started out well, tossing up 10 hits with five runs and five RBI. Jay was 0-for-4 on Wednesday, however. Matt Kemp is another big piece of the San Diego puzzle this season, and he’s got 11 hits with 10 RBI and three homers as of now.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres - 4/14/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

As for the Phillies, they’ll be giving right-hander Vincent Velasquez the start in Thursday’s game. Velasquez was pretty impressive in his debut back on Saturday, as he struck out nine Mets during six shutout innings. If he can stay consistent, Velasquez should surprise a lot of people this season.
In the batter’s box for the Phillies this year, we’ve got a group that’s had a little trouble coring runs with any consistency so far. Maikel Franco and Cesar Hernandez have started out fairly well. Franco has 11 hits with five RBI; Hernandez has 10 hits with three runs. Ryan Howard is going to have to step it up if Philly wants to do anything this season. Howard has five hits with two homers, and went 0-for-3 on Wednesday.
Now let’s dig into some trends for this matchup. The Padres are 1-4 in their last five during game four of a series, and 4-12 in their last 16 overall.
As for the Phillies, they’re 1-4 in their last five games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, and 4-11 in their last 15 game fours of a series.

I like the pitching matchup here, and it should be a pretty close game--for that reason I’m a little leery of it. In any case, I like Velasquez to out-duel Pomeranz for the Phillies victory.

 

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Philadelphia Phillies -131

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