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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 4/15/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers (4-4) at Pittsburgh Pirates (5-5)

MLB Baseball: Friday, April 15, 2016 at 7:05 pm (PNC Park)

J Nelson (1-1) (2.70) vs. J Locke (0-0) (1.50)

The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates -140 / Milwaukee Brewers +130 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: RTPT, FSWI

Coming up on Friday at PNC Park, the MLB is bringing us game one of a nice matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates.
The Brewers are coming off a three-game set against the Cardinals. Milwaukee was blown out in the first game, got a victory in the second and got blown out again 7-0 in the third matchup on Thursday.
As for the Pirates, they just concluded a four-game set with the Tigers. Pittsburgh won the opener, then dropped the next two and concluded with another loss 7-4 to lose the series 3-1.

In Friday’s game one matchup, we’re going to be seeing right-hander Jimmy Nelson take the mound for the Brewers. Nelson has pitched pretty well over his two starts thus far in 2016, posting a 2.70 ERA with a 0.98 WHIP over 13.1 innings pitched for a 1-1 record. Nelson struck out nine in six innings on Sunday in his first win of the year.
The Brewers have gotten contributions from a lot of different spots this season in their lineup. Scooter Gennett has started out well, with nine hits and three solo homers, but came up empty on Thursday. Jonathan Lucroy is also hitting well, with nine hits and four runs--but also came up empty on Thursday. As for team star Ryan Braun, he’s got eight hits with three RBI. Guess what Braun did Thursday? Yep, 0-for-3.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 4/15/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

Over on the Pirates side, they’ll be rolling out left-hander Jeff Locke in Friday’s game. Locke won his spot in the rotation during spring training, and solidified it in his first start on Sunday, going six innings and allowing one run on seven hits.
The Pittsburgh bats have a lot of contact potential, and should score plenty of runs this season. Starling Marte has begun well, with 13 hits and seven RBI. As for Francisco Cervelli, he’s got six RBI with 10 hits. Cervelli got the day off Thursday. Jon Jaso is another player of note, with his 13 hits and six runs thus far.

Now let’s get into some trends for this game. The Brewers are just 1-7 in their last eight games against a left-handed starter, and 1-4 in Nelson’s last five starts.
Over on the Pirates’ side, they’re 4-0 in their last four during game one of a series, and 0-4 in Locke’s last four starts during game one of a series.

This pitching matchup is pretty tough to call, but I like Nelson a little more than Locke right now. For that reason, I think the Brewers can pull out game one with a rather low-scoring victory.

 

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Milwaukee Brewers +130

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