San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 4/15/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks (3-7) at San Diego Padres (3-7)
MLB Baseball: Friday, April 15, 2016 at 10:40 pm (PETCO Park)
Z Greinke (0-2) (9.90) vs. J Shields (0-2) (4.85)
The Line: San Diego Padres +106 / Arizona Diamondbacks -116 --- Over/Under: 6.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSSD; FSA
With the Arizona Diamondbacks traveling to the Petco Park to start a three game series against NL West Rivals the San Diego Padres with Padres Manager Andy Green facing his former team for the first time.
Both of these teams are off to poor starts but the Arizona Diamondbacks have been many people's pre-season favorites to do well this season with their big off season move for Zack Greinke. Greinke gets the ball tonight but has lost his first two games in a D-back uniform and has a current ERA of 9.90. Greinke is too good a pitcher to keep struggling and he finally gets a team that are struggling with their own bats. Paul Goldschmidt is off to a poor start to the season by his own high standards but I dont think many will be worrying about the perennial MVP candidate. Goldschmidt still leads the team in RBI's so he's making contact when it matters but still I would expect his average to go up to above .300 by the end of the month. Jean Segura leads the team in average at the moment batting a robust .395 and if Segura can continue to get on base he's going to score alot of runs when Goldschmidt's average comes back up. The Diamondbacks though need a quality start from Greinke in his third outing of the year.
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The San Diego Padres have been pretty much feast or famine this season. After being held scoreless in their opening series with the Dodgers the Padres scored 13,16,3 and 4 in their next four before being held to 1 run in their next three outings. James Shields will get the ball for the Padres and he is 0-2 this season with an ERA of 4.50. Shields has struggled this year giving up 12 hits and 7 runs in 13 Innings. But obviously any sort of pitching struggles are being magnified by the line up's in ability to make contact. Matt Kemp has started the season strong with 3 Hr's 10 RBI's and a batting average of .295. The Padres are in a 1-4 slump right now and a win here at home could do alot to raise the team spirits.
Over is 12-3-1 in Shields last 16 starts following a team loss, Over is 8-2 in Shields last 10 starts against a team with a losing percentage, Over is 4-1 in Shields last 5 home starts.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in last 5 overall, Diamondbacks are 1-4 in last 5 when opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game, under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last six overall.
With the run line set low here and two struggling aces on the mound I think the over is the play. Yes Greinke and Shields both can be electric on the mound but neither have started the season like that. With the line set at 6.5 and some explosive bat potential in each line up I'm going to take the over.