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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 4/18/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays (6-7) at Boston Red Sox (6-5)

MLB Baseball: Monday, April 18, 2016 at 11:05 am (Fenway Park)

J Happ (1-0) (2.25) vs. C Buchholz (0-1) (10.00)

The Line: Boston Red Sox -124 / Toronto Blue Jays +114 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: MLBN, NESN, RSN

Coming up on Monday morning in the MLB, we’ve got another great matchup looming between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.

This will be game four of the weekend series. Boston took game one by a score of 5-3, then got another victory 4-2 on Saturday. In Sunday’s game three, Toronto got a little revenge on a 5-3 victory, out-hitting Boston 14-4.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 4/18/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Blue Jays will be wheeling out left-hander J.A. Happ for Monday’s matchup. Happ has skated on thin ice in his first couple of appearances, but has generally come out clean, collecting a 2.25 ERA and 1.50 WHIP thus far. In his most recent appearance on Wednesday against the Yankees, Happ recorded a win after allowing one run in six innings.

Toronto possesses a lot of punch at the plate, and a few notable players are off to great starts. Josh Donaldson has racked up 17 hits with five homers, 13 runs and 13 RBI. Edwin Encarnacion has put up 16 hits with nine RBI, and Jose Bautista has collected 13 hits with 10 RBI.

As for the Red Sox, they’ll be trotting out right-hander Clay Buchholz for Monday’s game four. Buchholz hasn’t exactly been solid thus far, posting a 10.00 ERA with a 1.89 WHIP over nine innings in his first two appearances. On Tuesday, Buchholz gave up five runs in five innings against the Orioles.

The Boston hitters have played well in 2016, and have given a solid all-around effort across the board. Dustin Pedroia has collected 13 hits with seven runs and three RBI, but was rested on Sunday. Hanley Ramirez has 13 hits with five RBI and six runs. David Ortiz has 11 hits with 10 RBI and three homers, but came up empty in Sunday’s game.

The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last five Monday games, and 4-1 in Happ’s last five starts against a team with a winning record. On the other side, the Red Sox are 5-2 in their last seven Monday games, and 7-3 in their last 10 home games against a left-handed starter.

Logic is telling me that the Blue Jays should win here, but I’m a little leery of it thanks to the way Boston has been playing. Neither pitcher instills much confidence, so the over seems the safest play in this particular matchup. 

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Over 9.5

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