Reds vs. Cubs - 4/24/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Chicago Cubs (13-5) at Cincinnati Reds (9-9)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, April 24, 2016 at 1:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
J Hammel (2-0) (1.00) vs. A Simon (0-1) (12.14)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds +158 / Chicago Cubs -168 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds end their four-game series early Sunday afternoon.
The Chicago Cubs look to build on their impressive 13-5 start to the season. Despite allowing 13 runs in Saturday’s loss, the Cubs are being led by their pitching staff that’s allowed two or less runs in six of their last eight games. The Chicago Cubs are 12-2 this season when allowing three or less runs, which includes four straight wins. Offensively, Dexter Fowler leads Chicago with 25 hits, Kris Bryant has 15 RBI and Anthony Rizzo has six home runs. Jason Hammel gets the nod, and he’s 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. Hammel is 2-1 with a 3.90 ERA and 50 strikeouts in his career against the Reds.
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The Cincinnati Reds look for some consistency after splitting their last eight games. The Reds offense has been hit or miss out the gate, as they’ll score seven runs one game and then get shutout the next two games. The Cincinnati Reds are 7-1 this season when scoring more than three runs, proving their offense is the key to their success. Eugenio Suarez leads Cincy with 20 hits, Jay Bruce has 15 RBI and Joey Votto has two home runs. Alfredo Simon takes the hill, and he’s 0-1 with a 12.15 ERA and nine strikeouts this season. Simon is 4-1 with a 2.66 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Cubs.
The Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 4 of a series and 1-7 in Hammels last 8 Sunday starts. The Reds are 13-27 in their last 40 home games and 4-12 in Simons last 16 starts. The Cubs are 21-7 in the last 28 meetings.
This is a lot of plus money to lay with a pitcher in Hammel who isn't exactly an elite pitcher. Also, the Reds simply unloaded on the Cubs yesterday, proving they're capable of putting runs on the board. I'll take my chances given the value of the line.