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Reds vs. Brewers - 5/7/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers (11-18) at Cincinnati Reds (13-17)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, May 7, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

J Nelson (4-2) (3.05) vs. B Finnegan (1-1) (3.97)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds -120 / Milwaukee Brewers +110 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSWI/FSOH

The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds play game three of their series Saturday night.

The Milwaukee Brewers could use a win after losing 10 of their last 14 games. The Brewers have allowed 21 runs in their last three games and five or more runs in eight of their last nine games. The Milwaukee Brewers have an ERA of 5.69 and haven’t allowed less than four runs since April 10th. Offensively, Ryan Braun leads Milwaukee with 36 hits, Chris Carter has 22 RBI and Domingo Santana has three home runs. Jimmy Nelson gets the nod, and he’s 4-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Nelson is 1-2 with a 6.21 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Reds.

Reds vs. Brewers - 5/7/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds look for another win after winning four of their last six games. The Reds have scored 21 runs in their last three games and five or more runs in five of their last six games. The Cincinnati Reds haven’t had much offensive success, but they are 11-2 this season when scoring more than three runs. Zack Cozart leads Cincinnati with 30 hits, Jay Bruce has 21 RBI and Eugenio Suarez has six home runs. Brandon Finnegan takes the hill, and he’s 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Finnegan is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and five strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.

The Brewers are 7-19 in their last 26 Saturday games and 4-1 in Nelsons last 5 starts. The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series and 1-4 in Finnegans last 5 starts. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Same reason we picked the Reds earlier and hit, we're backing Cincinnati because it's at home. Neither of these teams are good or inconsistent, so you're better off picking the home team that's in better form if you're forced to pick. 

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Cincinnati Reds -120

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