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Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners - 5/8/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Seattle Mariners (18-12) at Houston Astros (11-20)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, May 8, 2016 at 2:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

H Iwakuma (1-3) (4.03) vs. C McHugh (3-3) (6.59)

The Line: Houston Astros -113 / Seattle Mariners +103 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


In MLB action at Minute Maid Park on Sunday afternoon, we’ve got the series finale between the Seattle Mariners and the Houston Astros on tap.

This has been an extended four-game weekend set. On Thursday in the opener, the Mariners took a 6-3 victory. The Astros evened things up Friday with a 6-3 win of their own. On Saturday, the Mariners edged out a 3-2 victory in a 10-inning struggle to move ahead 2-1 in the series.

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners - 5/8/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Right-hander Hisashi Iwakuma will be getting the call for Sunday’s game. It’s been a bumpy year for Iwakuma so far, as he’s carrying a 4.03 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP and a 1-3 record over six starts and 38 total innings of work. That said, Iwakuma was dazzling in his last outing on Tuesday, confounding the A’s with seven innings of four-hit, one-run ball.

There are four or five regular contributors in the Mariners lineup doing most of the heavy lifting this year. Robinson Cano has been on fire with 38 hits, 11 homers and 32 RBI. Cano went off for two solo homers and a 4-for-5 line on Saturday. Ketel Marte has surprised with 31 hits and 13 runs, but came up empty Saturday. Kyle Seager has seven homers, 19 RBI and 18 runs despite a tepid .232 BA. Seager went 3-for-4 with a homer in Saturday’s game.

Over on the Astros’ side, we’ll be seeing right-hander Collin McHugh in the starting role. It’s been a season of manic highs and lows for McHugh, who has a 6.59 ERA, a 1.83 WHIP and a 3-3 record on six starts and 27.1 innings of ball. Tuesday’s game was one of the lows, with McHugh giving up four runs on seven hits in 5.2 innings against the Twins (but somehow still getting the win).

The Houston batting order is a pretty impressive young group of hitters. Jose Altuve has been great in 2016 with 38 hits, nine homers and a whopping 28 runs. George Springer is also playing well on 32 hits, 19 runs and six homers. Colby Rasmus--sketchy .232 BA and all--is even getting in on the action with seven homers and 25 RBI. Springer went 0-for-4 Saturday, but Rasmus managed two hits with an RBI.

The Mariners are 20-7 in Iwakuma’s last 27 road starts, but 1-4 in Iwakuma’s last five starts following a quality start in his previous appearance. Meanwhile, the Astros are 0-6 in their last six game fours of a series, and 6-1 in McHugh’s last seven Sunday starts.

I’ll give the winning edge here to the Mariners, but it should be a close game. I’m most comfortable with the over in this one, however, as I can see both McHugh and Iwakuma letting the game get out of hand.

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Over 8.5

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