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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 5/9/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates (17-14) at Cincinnati Reds (13-18)

MLB Baseball: Monday, May 9, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

J Niese (3-1) (5.94) vs. D Straily (1-1) (3.56)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds +110 / Pittsburgh Pirates -120 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds


Coming up on Monday evening in MLB action, we’ve got game one of an early-week set between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park.

The Pirates are fresh of a weekend series against their rival Cardinals. Pittsburgh won Friday’s opener by two runs, then dropped game two by a pair of runs. In the rubber game Sunday, Pittsburgh won the series with a dominating 10-5 victory.
As for the Reds, they just finished up a long four-game set against the Brewers. Cincinnati took games one and two by a combined 14-6 score, but lost Saturday’s matchup 13-7. On Sunday, the Reds lost a squeaker 5-4 when Billy Hamilton was tossed out trying to steal second in the bottom of the ninth.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 5/9/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Pirates will be wheeling out left-hander Jon Niese for Monday’s game. Niese’s numbers have visited both ends of the spectrum this year, resulting in a 5.94 ERA, a 1.68 WHIP and a 3-1 record over six starts and 33.1 total innings. On Tuesday in his last start, Niese was beat up by the Cubs for six runs in five innings.

The Pittsburgh batting order has proven itself to be a deep, capable crew. Starling Marte leads the charge on 42 hits with 19 runs, while Josh Harrison has contributed 37 hits and 17 RBI. Andrew McCutchen is the power man this year with six homers and 21 runs, despite a .238 BA. McCutchen went 2-for-5 with an RBI and a run on Sunday.

The Reds will be rolling with right-hander Dan Straily in Monday’s matchup. On the whole, Straily has been solid in 2016, with a 3.56 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP and a 1-1 record in four starts and 30.1 innings of work. On Wednesday when he last took the hill, Straily got his first win of the year against the Giants with three runs on six hits.

There’s a lot of power in the Reds order, if not a lot of consistency. Zach Cozart has been the standout on 32 hits with 18 runs this year. Brandon Phillips has six homers with 16 RBI and 16 runs. Phillips came up empty 0-for-4 with a strikeout in the Brewers finale, though. Eugenio Suarez is also playing pretty well with six homers and 18 RBI.

The Pirates are 4-1 in their last five game ones of a series, and 5-1 in Niese’s last six starts.
Meanwhile, the Reds are 0-4 in their last four Monday games and 27-57 in their last 84 game ones of a series.

I’ll give a slight edge to the Pirates in this one, but honestly I’m not in love with either pitcher here. There seems to be a lot of room for scoring, so I’ll take the over as the most sensible play.

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Over 9

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