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Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 5/9/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers (12-18) at Miami Marlins (16-14)

MLB Baseball: Monday, May 9, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Marlins Park)

W Peralta (2-3) (7.50) vs. J Fernandez (3-2) (4.28)

The Line: Miami Marlins -208 / Milwaukee Brewers +193 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


On Monday at Marlins Park, we’ve got series-opening MLB action between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Miami Marlins.

The Brewers are coming off a lengthy four-game set against the Reds. Milwaukee dropped the first two games before logging a 13-7 victory on Saturday. In Sunday’s finale, the Brewers would even the series 2-2 with a close 5-4 victory that ended in a Billy Hamilton pickoff at second base during a steal attempt.
As for the Marlins, they just finished up a weekend set against the Phillies. Miami and Philadelphia split the first two games, and on Sunday the Marlins lost a heartbreaker 6-5 by allowing two runs in the eighth inning.

Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 5/9/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


For Monday’s game, the Brewers will be trotting out right-hander Wily Peralta. In six starts and 30 innings for a 2-3 record this year, Peralta has mustered a 7.50 ERA and a 1.93 WHIP. Peralta missed his scheduled start last Friday (paternity leave) and slots in here on extra rest.

The top end of the Brewers batting order is a pretty stacked group. Ryan Braun leads the way on 40 hits, 19 runs and 24 RBI. Braun slapped his seventh homer of the year on Sunday. Chris Carter has been the power station on 10 homers and 22 RBI. Jonathan Lucroy is also playing pretty well in 2016 with 33 hits and 17 runs. Lucroy bagged a homer Sunday as well, his third of the year.

The Marlins will be going with right-hander Jose Fernandez in Monday’s game. Fernandez hasn’t quite found his groove yet on a 4.28 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP and a 3-2 record over six starts and 33.2 innings of work. In his last start on Wednesday against the Diamondbacks, Fernandez put up just five innings and allowed three runs but still got the win.

There’s a lot of young talent in the Marlins lineup. Martin Prado has been awesome this year on 40 hits with 11 runs. Prado went 4-for-5 in the Phillies finale. Christian Yelich is also playing well with 35 hits and 20 runs. Giancarlo Stanton provides the power here with his 10 homers and 24 RBI. Stanton sat Sunday but did go 0-for-1 as a pinch hitter.

The Brewers are 5-0 in Peralta’s last five starts against the National League East, but just 1-4 in Peralta’s last five Monday starts.
As for the Marlins, they’re 4-0 in their last four game ones of a series and 4-0 in Fernandez’s last four Monday starts.

I like the Marlins offense and Fernandez in the pitching matchup here, but I feel like this may be a high-scoring game. I’ll go with the over as the most comfortable play.

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Over 7.5

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