Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers - 5/12/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Detroit Tigers (15-18) at Baltimore Orioles (20-12)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, May 12, 2016 at 7:05 pm (Camden Yards)
M Pelfrey (0-4) (7.42) vs. U Jimenez (2-3) (4.54)
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -165 / Detroit Tigers +155 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: MASN, FSDT
Thursday evening in MLB action, we’ve got a series-opening matchup between the Detroit Tigers and the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park.
The Tigers just played an early-week series against the Nationals. Detroit dropped Monday’s game 5-4 before returning on Tuesday for a 5-4 win of their own. In Wednesday’s rubber game, Washington took a tense 3-2 win, out-hitting Detroit 9-6.
As for the Orioles, they’re coming off a short stint with the Twins. Baltimore took the first game 5-3, and in Wednesday’s matchup, finished off the 2-0 sweep with a dominant 9-2 victory over Minnesota.
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Detroit will be going with right-hander Mike Pelfrey in Thursday’s game. It’s been a difficulty season for Pelfrey thus far, as he’s carrying a 6.23 ERA, a 1.95 WHIP and an 0-4 record over six starts and 30.1 total innings. During his most recent appearance on Saturday, Pelfrey allowed five runs on seven hits in five innings against the Rangers.
The Detroit hitters are a pretty deep group with lots of talent. Heading up the stat sheet is Nick Castellanos, with 42 hits and 28 RBI on seven homers. Castellanos didn’t play Wednesday, though. Ian Kinsler has also been great on 27 runs, 40 hits and six homers. Miguel Cabrera is playing well with 36 hits and 16 runs. Cabrera and Kinsler combined to go 0-for-8 with six strikeouts Wednesday.
The Orioles will be looking to right-hander Ubaldo Jimenez in Thursday’s game. Jimenez owns a 2-3 record over six starts and 35.2 innings this year, resulting in a 4.54 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP. Back in his most recent start on Saturday, Jimenez held the A’s to two runs in eight innings on nine hits.
Baltimore has a pretty powerful lineup themselves. Manny Machado has been crushing on 47 hits, 27 runs, 10 homers and 23 RBI. Mark Trumbo isn’t far behind with 41 hits, 19 runs, 11 homers and 27 RBI. Trumbo blasted two homers in Wednesday’s game. Chris Davis has 24 runs and nine homers. On Wednesday, Davis went 4-for-5 with four RBI, raising his BA to .242 on the season.
The Tigers are just 2-7 in their last nine game ones of a series, and 1-5 in Pelfrey’s last six starts.
Meanwhile, the Orioles are 7-1 in their last eight Thursday games, and 21-8 in their last 29 home games.
I have basically no faith in Pelfrey right now, and don’t think he can contain the Orioles batting order. Baltimore shouldn’t have much trouble here.