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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds - 5/15/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds (14-21) at Philadelphia Phillies (21-15)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, May 15, 2016 at 1:35 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

D Straily (1-1) (3.47) vs. Adam Morgan (1-0) (3.94)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -120 / Cincinnati Reds +110 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


The Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies are all set to tangle once again on Sunday afternoon to finish up their weekend series at Citizens Bank Park.

This will be the third and final game of the set. In Friday’s opener, the Phillies eked out a 3-2 victory. On Saturday, Philadelphia would take another victory, holding on for a 4-3 result.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds - 5/15/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


For Sunday’s game, the Reds will be trotting out right-hander Dan Straily for the start. In his eight games (five starts) and 1-1 record this year, Straily has accumulated a 3.47 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in 36.1 innings. In Monday’s no-decision against the Pirates, Straily allowed two runs over six innings.

The Cincinnati hitters are pretty formidable when they’ve got their proverbial groove going. Zach Cozart has been playing very well with 34 hits and 20 runs. Brandon Phillips is also on a roll with 33 hits and 18 runs. Jay Bruce has been driving in the runs pretty consistently, logging 28 hits and 23 RBI. Bruce went 1-for-3 with a run in Saturday’s game.

Over on the Phillies’ side, we’ll be getting another look at left-hander Adam Morgan in Sunday’s start. Morgan has gotten the call in three games thus far (1-0), and has posted a 3.94 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP in 16 innings of action. On Tuesday, Morgan pitched well against the Braves with seven innings of one-earned ball.

The Philadelphia hitters haven’t been spectacular this year, but there’s some talent in the lineup. Odubel Herrera has logged a team-high 44 hits with 23 runs. Herrera bagged two hits with a home run on Saturday. Maikel Franco is going pretty strong on seven homers and 19 RBI. Ryan Howard is hitting a paltry .179 this year but also has eight homers and 17 RBI. Howard went 1-for-4 on Saturday.

The Reds are 6-17 in their last 23 games against a left-handed starter, and 6-25 in their last 31 Sunday games.
Meanwhile, the Phillies are 6-1 in their last seven Sunday games and 8-2 in their last 10 game threes of a series.

I’ll give a slight edge to the Reds here based on their offense, but I think that Straily and Morgan will control the game. I could easily see the under coming in.

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Under 8.5

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