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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - 5/21/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Braves (11-30) at Philadelphia Phillies (24-18)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, May 21, 2016 at 3:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

W Perez (1-1) (4.79) vs. Adam Morgan (1-1) (6.41)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -136 / Atlanta Braves +126 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


Saturday afternoon at Citizens Bank Park, the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies will be continuing their weekend series.

This will be game two of the three-game set. In Friday’s opener, Atlanta blew out Philly 7-1. The Braves out-hit the Phillies 8-6 in that one.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - 5/21/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


For Saturday’s matchup, the Braves will be going with right-hander Williams Perez. Over his five starts and 1-1 record this year, Perez has tabulated a 4.78 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP in 26.1 innings. On Monday when he last took the mound, Perez gave up six runs in six innings to the Pirates in a loss.

The Atlanta lineup isn’t much to write home about, but we’ve got a few notable names here. Freddie Freeman leads the charge on 41 hits with 19 runs, eight homers and 15 RBI. Freeman bashed two homers in Friday’s game. Nick Markakis has a team-high 24 RBI with 39 hits. Mallex Smith has played well in spurts, logging 24 hits with 15 runs and 14 RBI. Smith managed a pair of runs on Friday.

Over on the Phillies side, we’ll be getting another look at left-hander Adam Morgan in Saturday’s game. In his four starts and 1-1 record in 2016, Morgan has put up a 6.41 ERA with a 1.53 WHIP in 19.2 innings. Morgan was blasted on Sunday against the Reds, lasting just 3.2 innings and giving up seven earned runs.

There are a few names carrying the Philadelphia lineup this season. Odubel Herrera has 48 hits with a team-high 25 runs. Maikel Franco is playing fairly well on 38 hits with seven homers and 23 RBI. Freddy Galvis has 36 hits and 15 runs with 17 RBI to his credit. On Friday, Herrera, Franco and Galvis combined to go 2-for-10 on the evening.

The Braves are 5-0 in Perez’s last five starts against the National League East, and 4-1 in Perez’s last five starts during game two of a series.
Meanwhile, the Phillies are 4-0 in their last four Saturday games, and 7-1 in their last eight game twos of a series.

I’ll give the Phillies an edge here on offense, but I don’t really like either pitcher. This might be a good spot for the over.

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Over 8.5

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