Detroit Tigers vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 5/23/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies (24-19) at Detroit Tigers (20-22)
MLB Baseball: Monday, May 23, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Comerica Park)
Vincent Velasquez (5-1) (2.42) vs. M Pelfrey (0-4) (6.37)
The Line: Detroit Tigers -111 / Philadelphia Phillies +101 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSD, CSN
Comerica Park will be coming alive Monday evening, as the Philadelphia Phillies and the Detroit Tigers start up their early-week series.
The Phillies played a set against the Braves this weekend. Atlanta won the first two games by a combined 9-1 score, and on Sunday in the finale the Phillies got a little revenge and prevented the sweep with a 5-0 victory.
Meanwhile, the Tigers just finished up against the Rays. Tampa and Detroit split the first two games, and in the rubber match Sunday the Tigers scored six runs in the first three innings on the way to a 9-4 win.
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Philadelphia will be rolling out right-hander Vincent Velasquez in the starting role Monday. Over his eight starts and 5-1 record this season, Velasquez has posted a nice 2.42 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP through 48.1 innings of work. On Tuesday against the Marlins when we last saw him, Velasquez posted 10 strikeouts in five scoreless innings for a win.
A quick glance at the Phillies lineup will tell you who the stars are. Odubel Herrera has been great on a team-high 50 hits with 26 runs and 13 RBI. Maikel Franco has contributed seven homers with 25 RBI. Franco and Herrera combined for four hits, two RBI and a run on Sunday. Ryan Howard is hitting a paltry .161 but does have eight homers and 18 RBI. Howard is sitting more and more these days thanks to his wimpy numbers.
The Tigers will be going with right-hander Mike Pelfrey for Monday’s game. In his eight starts and 0-4 record this season, Pelfrey has managed a 5.49 ERA with a 1.80 WHIP across 41 total innings. On Tuesday, Pelfrey was pretty solid on two runs in 5.1 innings against the Twins for a no-decision.
Batting order-wise, the Detroit hitters are pretty well-rounded. Ian Kinsler has jumped out to 56 hits, 40 runs, 10 homers and 24 RBI. Nick Castellanos isn’t far behind with 52 hits, 21 runs and 30 RBI. Miguel Cabrera is also having another nice year on 26 RBI, 51 hits and 24 runs. Cabrera had a great outing on Sunday with a 3-for-3 line, a homer, two RBI and a run.
The Phillies are 6-20 in their last 26 Monday games, and 4-1 in Velasquez’s last five starts.
As for the Tigers, they’re 1-5 in their last six game ones of a series, and 2-6 in Pelfrey’s last eight starts.
I can’t trust Pelfrey for much of anything this season, so I’ll take Velasquez and the Phillies for the win here. Detroit has enough offensive firepower to keep things close, though.