Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds - 5/29/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cincinnati Reds (16-33) at Milwaukee Brewers (22-27)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, May 29, 2016 at 2:10 pm (Miller Park)
B Finnegan (1-3) (3.97) vs. J Nelson (4-3) (2.92)
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -143 / Cincinnati Reds +133 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSWI, FSO
Coming up on Sunday from Miller Park, the Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers will be finishing up their weekend series.
This will be the third game of the set. On Friday in the opener, the Brewers secured a strong 9-5 victory. In Saturday’s game, the Reds snagged a great comeback win, scoring five times in the seventh inning on the way to a 7-6 result.
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As the Sunday starter, the Reds will be bringing out left-hander Brandon Finnegan. In his 10 starts and 1-3 record this year, Finnegan has posted a 3.97 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP in 56.2 innings. On Monday in his last appearance, Finnegan put up eight strong innings of one-run ball but still took the loss to the Dodgers.
The Cincinnati offense has been relatively weak this season. Zach Cozart heads the lineup on 44 hits with 24 runs. Cozart came up empty on Saturday, though. Brandon Phillips has 43 hits with 22 runs and 22 RBI. Jay Bruce has popped eight homers with 30 RBI and 25 runs with 42 hits.
The Brewers will be countering with right-hander Jimmy Nelson on Sunday. In a 4-3 record over 10 starts this season, Nelson has a 2.92 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP in 64.2 innings. On Tuesday in a no-decision against the Braves, Nelson logged eight strikeouts over six innings of one-run ball.
The Milwaukee batting order is a pretty deep and well-rounded bunch. Ryan Braun holds 53 hits with 23 runs and 30 RBI. Jonathan Villar has 52 hits with 23 runs and 18 RBI. Chris Carter has been the big swinger this season on 13 homers with 31 RBI, 40 hits and 26 runs. Villar and Carter combined to go 0-for-7 on Saturday.
The Reds are 7-26 in their last 33 Sunday games, and 1-4 in their last five game threes of a series.
Meanwhile, the Brewers are 4-1 in their last five Sunday games and 5-1 in Nelson’s last six starts after a quality start in his previous appearance.
Despite Finnegan’s strong play lately, I can’t pick the Reds here due to their overall ineptitude at the plate. I’ll take Nelson and the Brewers for the win.