Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays - 6/5/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Tampa Bay Rays (23-30) at Minnesota Twins (16-38)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, June 5, 2016 at 2:10 pm (Target Field)
D Smyly (2-7) (4.77) vs. Tyler Duffey (2-4) (4.57)
The Line: Minnesota Twins +105 / Tampa Bay Rays -115 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN, FS SUN
Up at Target Field on Sunday, we’ve got series-closing MLB action coming between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Minnesota Twins.
This will be the finale of a four-game set. The teams split the Thursday and Friday matchups, each winning by two runs. On Saturday (after a minor rain delay), the Rays rolled to a 7-4 victory despite Minnesota showing a bit of life in the ninth.
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On Sunday, the Rays will be going with left-hander Drew Smyly. Over his 11 starts and 2-7 record this season, Smyly has posted a 4.77 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP in 66 total innings. On Tuesday, Smyly got shelled by the Royals, giving up eight runs on 12 hits in just four innings.
The Tampa Bay hitters are a pretty deep crew, and they tend to score a lot of runs. Evan Longoria leads the way with 59 hits, 12 homers and 31 RBI. Steven Souza has also had a good year on 48 hits with 25 runs, 10 homers and 23 RBI. Longoria and Souza each had homers on Saturday. Brandon Guyer is playing well on 39 hits with 22 runs and 14 RBI thus far.
The Twins will be countering with right-hander Tyler Duffey on Sunday. Over his seven starts and 2-4 record this year, Duffey has logged a 4.57 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP in a total of 41.1 innings of work. On Tuesday, Duffey got beat up by the A’s, surrendering five runs on 10 hits in 4.2 innings.
The top-heavy Minnesota batting order isn’t too bad at scoring, either. Eduardo Nunez has put up 59 hits with 25 runs and 21 RBI. Joe Mauer owns 55 hits with 19 runs and 20 RBI. Mauer slapped two hits with two RBI on Saturday. Miguel Sano has a team-high 11 homers with 42 hits, 25 runs and 27 RBI in 2016.
The Rays are 39-19 in their last 58 game fours of a series, but just 1-4 in their last five Sunday games.
Meanwhile, the Twins are 4-1 in their last five game fours of a series, and 5-2 in Duffey’s last seven home starts.
I’m not thrilled about either pitcher here, so the over seems prudent. I’ll give a slight winning edge to the Rays, however.