Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 6/9/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
St. Louis Cardinals (31-28) at Cincinnati Reds (22-37)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, June 9, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
A Wainwright (5-4) (5.40) vs. B Finnegan (2-4) (3.89)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds +140 / St. Louis Cardinals -150 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSO, FSM
Coming up on Thursday from Great American Ball Park, the St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds will be closing out their series.
This will be the third and final game of the set. On Tuesday, the Reds were able to eke out a 7-6 win. In Wednesday’s matchup, the Cardinals scored six runs in the seventh and eighth innings on the way to a 12-7 victory that tied the series.
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For Thursday’s game, the Cardinals will be rolling with right-hander Adam Wainwright. In his 12 games and 5-4 record this year, Wainwright has put up a 5.40 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP across 71.2 innings. On Friday in a loss to the Giants, Wainwright allowed two earned on five hits over seven innings.
There are plenty of familiar faces within what’s a pretty solid St. Louis batting order. Stephen Piscotty has 68 hits with 38 runs and 34 RBI. Aledmys Diaz has hit 64 times with 40 runs and 31 RBI. Matt Carpenter is playing pretty well on 58 hits with 41 runs and 39 RBI.
LHP Brandon Finnegan will draw the start Thursday for the Reds. In 12 games and a 2-4 record this year, Finnegan has logged a 3.89 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP in 69.1 total innings. On Friday against the Nationals, Finnegan gave up only a solo homer in a 6.1-inning victory.
The Cincinnati batting order isn’t necessarily stacked, but does have some talent on the top end. Jay Bruce has 57 hits with 13 homers, 41 RBI and 35 runs. Zack Cozart has 57 hits with 32 runs and 25 RBI. Cozart managed a homer with two RBI on Wednesday. Adam Duvall has blasted a team-high 17 homers with 39 RBI, 51 hits and 31 runs.
The Cardinals are 23-9 in their last 32 Thursday games, and 12-5 in their last 17 game threes of a series. St. Louis is also 4-1 in Wainwright’s last five road starts, and 42-19 in Wainwright’s last 61 starts overall.
As for the Reds, they’re 1-5 in their last six game threes of a series, and 0-4 in Finnegan’s last four starts during game three of a series. Cincinnati is also 1-4 in Finnegan’s last five home starts, and 1-8 in Finnegan’s last nine starts overall.
I’m not crazy about Wainwright right now, but I don’t think the Reds have enough offensive firepower to take him. I’ll take the Cardinals in a close win.