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Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers - 7/6/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Detroit Tigers (44-40) at Cleveland Indians (51-32)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, July 6, 2016 at 12:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Michael Fulmer (8-2) (2.16) vs. J Tomlin (9-1) (3.21)

The Line: Cleveland Indians -131 / Detroit Tigers +121 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


On Wednesday in MLB action from Progressive Field, the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Indians will be finishing up their series.

This will be game three of the set. The Tigers took a 5-3 win in the opener, and on Tuesday the Indians evened it up with a big 12-1 victory.

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers - 7/6/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


For Wednesday’s game, the Tigers will be rolling with right-hander Michael Fulmer. In his 12 starts and 8-2 record this year, Fulmer has posted a 2.17 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP in 70.2 innings. Back on Friday in seven shutout innings against the Rays, Fulmer allowed just two hits for the win.

The Tigers have a pretty solid selection of hitters in the meaty part of their order. Ian Kinsler leads the way on 97 hits with 68 runs, 16 homers and 52 RBI. Miguel Cabrera is right there as well on 94 hits with 47 runs, 18 homers and 51 RBI. Nick Castellanos has put up 93 hits with 41 runs, 15 homers and 45 RBI. Castellanos was a late scratch Tuesday due to flu-like symptoms.

The Indians will be countering with right-hander Josh Tomlin on Wednesday. In his 15 starts and 9-1 record this year, Tomlin has posted a 3.21 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP in 95.1 innings. On Friday against the Blue Jays, Tomlin went six innings, allowing one run with eight strikeouts for a no-decision.

Cleveland has some pretty interesting hitters at their disposal as well. Francisco Lindor leads all batters with 95 hits, 54 runs, 10 homers and 42 RBI. Jason Kipnis has 86 hits with 43 runs, 11 homers and 46 RBI. Carlos Santana has hit 76 times with 19 homers, 49 runs and 46 RBI thus far. Santana put up a solo homer and two runs Tuesday.

The Tigers are 17-8 in their last 25 Wednesday games, and 9-1 in Fulmer’s last 10 starts. Detroit is also 6-1 in Fulmer’s last seven road starts, and 5-1 in Fulmer’s last six starts with four days’ rest.
As for the Indians, they’re 4-1 in their last five game threes of a series, and 10-4 in their last 14 Wednesday games. Cleveland is also 8-1 in Tomlin’s last nine home starts, and 21-5 in Tomlin’s last 26 starts overall.

This game just screams “under” given the pitching matchup, so I’ll take that. I’ll also give the Indians a slight winning edge for being at home.

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Under 8.5

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