Reds at Marlins - 7/8/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cincinnati Reds (32-54) at Miami Marlins (44-41)
MLB Baseball: Friday, July 8, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Marlins Park)
D Straily (4-5) (4.34) vs. J Fernandez (10-4) (2.69)
The Line: Miami Marlins / Cincinnati Reds --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins begin a three-game series Friday night at Marlins Park.
The Cincinnati Reds could see a win after losing 10 of their last 14 games. The Reds have allowed 18 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in 10 of their last 14 games. The Cincinnati Reds have an ERA of 5.49 and have lost 10 of their last 12 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Jay Bruce leads Cincinnati with 82 hits, Zack Cozart has 38 RBI and Adam Duvall has 22 home runs. Dan Straily gets the nod, and he’s 4-5 with a 4.34 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. This will be Straily’s first career game against the Marlins.
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The Miami Marlins look for consistency after splitting their last 14 games. The Marlins have scored 13 runs in their last three games and five or more runs in five of their last seven games. The Miami Marlins offense has been hot lately, and they’ve won six of their last 10 games when scoring more than three runs. Martin Prado leads Miami with 100 hits, Marcell Ozuna has 47 RBI and Giancarlo Stanton has 19 home runs. Jose Fernandez takes the hill, and he’s 10-4 with a 2.69 ERA and 146 strikeouts this season. Fernandez is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Reds.
The Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 games following an off day and 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League East. The Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central and 28-3 in Fernandezs last 31 home starts. The under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
If there's one rule in baseball, it's that you don't bet against Fernandez at home. Doing it against a struggling Reds team makes the bet even worse. Miami at home with Jose on the hill results in usually an automatic victory.