Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets - 7/18/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Mets (49-42) at Chicago Cubs (55-35)
MLB Baseball: Monday, July 18, 2016 at 7:05 pm (Wrigley Field)
Steven Matz (7-5) (3.56) vs. J Lester (9-4) (3.01)
The Line: Chicago Cubs -166 / New York Mets +156 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: SNY, ESPN, WPWR
Coming up on Monday from historic Wrigley Field in Chicago, we’ve got game one of the early-week MLB series between the New York Mets and the Chicago Cubs.
The Cubs are coming off a weekend set against the Rangers. Chicago won the first two games, then on Sunday the Cubs fell 4-1 to prevent the sweep.
As for the Mets, they played the Phillies in their last series. New York won Friday and Sunday, while dropping Saturday’s game.
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For Monday’s matchup, the Mets will be bringing out lefty Steven Matz. In his 16 starts and 7-5 record this season, Matz has a 3.38 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP in 96 innings. Matz recorded a loss his last time out, allowing six hits and three runs against the Nationals.
At the plate, the New York lineup is a pretty capable group overall. Asdrubal Cabrera has 87 hits with 38 runs, 12 homers and 29 RBI. Yoenis Cespedes has put up 87 hits with 47 runs, 21 homers and 52 RBI. Curtis Granderson holds 76 hits of his own with 44 runs, 15 homers and 27 RBI.
Over on the Cubs’ side, we’ll be seeing lefty Jon Lester on Monday in the starting role. In his 18 starts and 9-4 record this year, Lester owns a 3.01 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP in 110.2 innings. In his last start, Lester lasted just three innings against the Pirates, giving up five earned on four hits.
The Chicago hitters are a very talented crew. Kris Bryant leads the way with 96 hits, 74 runs, 25 homers and 65 RBI. Anthony Rizzo has put up 94 hits with 55 runs, 21 homers and 65 RBI. Rizzo came up empty on Sunday. Ben Zobrist owns 86 hits with 59 runs, 13 homers and 47 RBI so far.
The Mets are 23-4 in their last 27 Monday games, and 23-5 in their last 28 against the National League Central. New York is also 2-6 in Matz’s last eight starts, and 5-2 in Matz’s last seven starts against the National League Central.
Meanwhile, the Cubs are 5-1 in Lester’s last six Monday starts, and 5-1 in Lester’s last six home starts. Chicago is also 53-24 in their last 77 home games, and 0-7 in their last seven against the National League East.
Lester has had a couple of crummy outings in his past two starts, so I’ll take the Mets here. This game could get ugly on both sides, though.