Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees - 7/29/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Yankees (52-49) at Tampa Bay Rays (39-61)
MLB Baseball: Friday, July 29, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Tropicana Field)
I Nova (7-5) (4.65) vs. J Odorizzi (4-5) (4.10)
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays TBA / New York Yankees TBA --- Over/Under: TBA See the Latest Odds
TV: YES, SUN
Coming up on Friday in MLB action, we’ve got a series-opening game between the New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays from Tropicana Field.
New York is coming off a three-game set against the Astros this week. The Yankees took the first two of those games before dropping Wednesday’s finale 4-1.
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As for the Rays, they’re fresh off a two-game stint with the Dodgers. Each team split a game in that series, with the total run differential being just three overall.
The Yankees’ Ivan Nova will be taking the hill for the team on Friday. In his 20 games (14 starts) this year, Nova owns a 7-5 record with a 4.65 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP—and one save for good measure. In his most recent outing, Nova logged a seven-inning no-decision against the Giants with six hits and one earned.
Helping things out at the plate, we’ve got the usual crew of New York swingers. Carlos Beltran has hit 106 times with 49 runs, 21 homers and 62 RBI. Didi Gregorius has put up 102 hits with 44 runs, 11 homers and 43 RBI. Starlin Castro holds 98 hits with 38 runs, 11 homers and 40 RBI so far.
Tampa Bay’s RHP Jake Odorizzi will be on the mound for Friday’s game. Over his 21 starts and 4-5 record this season, Odorizzi has put in a 4.18 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP in 118.2 innings of work. In a no-decision against Oakland his last time out, Odorizzi managed eight innings with five hits and no earned.
It’s pretty easy to find the notable hitters in the Rays lineup. Evan Longoria is way out front on his 114 hits with 52 runs, 23 homers and 57 RBI. Brock Miller has put up 81 hits with 40 runs, 14 homers and 37 RBI. Logan Forsythe holds 79 hits with 42 runs and 28 RBI so far this year.
The Yankees are 4-0 in Nova’s last four Friday starts, and 2-5 in Nova’s last seven starts. New York is also 2-6 in Nova’s last eight starts against the American League East, and 8-3 in their last 11 overall.
As for the Rays, they’re 7-19 in their last 28 Friday games, and 19-42 in their last 61 overall. Tampa Bay is also 1-5 in their last six home games, and 2-6 in Odorizzi’s last eight home starts.
I like the way Odorizzi has been pitching lately, so I’ll go out on a bit of a limb and pick the Rays here for the victory.