Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers NLDS Game Three - 10/10/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Washington Nationals (96-68) at Los Angeles Dodgers (92-72)
MLB Baseball: Monday, October 10, 2016 at 4:08 pm (Dodger Stadium)
G Gonzalez (11-11) (4.57) vs. Kenta Maeda (16-11) (3.48)
The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -152 / Washington Nationals +128 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
Headed our way on Monday, the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers will meet up again in their MLB Division Series of the playoffs, this time from Dodger Stadium.
This series is tied up 1-1, with the Dodgers eking out a 4-3 win in Friday’s opener, and (after a rainout Saturday) the Nationals responding with a 5-2 victory on Sunday.
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For Monday’s game, the Nationals will be bringing out lefty Gio Gonzalez for the start. Over 32 starts and an 11-11 record this year, Gonzalez holds a 4.57 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP in 177.1 innings. Gonzalez put up a loss against the D-Backs his last time out, going 3.2 innings with eight hits and three earned.
The Nationals need some timely hitting from their stars if they want to advance. Daniel Murphy is 4-of-6 in the postseason with one run and two RBI. Anthony Rendon has two RBI as well with two hits in eight at-bats. As for Ryan Zimmerman, he’s got three hits in seven tries, but no runs or RBI.
On the Dodgers’ side, we’ll be seeing RHP Kenta Maeda in the start on Monday. Across 32 games and a 16-11 mark this year, Maeda has put up a 3.48 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP in 175.2 innings. Maeda put up a stinker against the Giants in his last outing, going 2.2 innings with nine hits and five earned for a loss.
Los Angeles could use a few extra hits as well. Justin Turner leads the team this postseason with four hits in six at-bats with two runs, one homer and two RBI. Corey Seager has a pair of solo home runs with three runs in nine at-bats. As for Yasmani Grandal, he’s got two hits with a walk and a team-high three postseason strikeouts.
The Nationals are 6-2 in their last eight game threes of a series, and 2-5 in their last seven playoff games. Washington is also 9-4 in Gonzalez’s last 13 Monday starts, and 1-6 in Gonzalez’s last seven road starts.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 5-0 in their last five home games against a left-handed starter, and 8-1 in their last nine Monday games. Los Angeles is also 6-0 in Maeda’s last six home starts, and 4-1 in Maeda’s last five starts versus the National League East.
I like Gonzalez normally, but given his recent struggles I’ll take Maeda here. The Dodgers are 9-4 in Maeda’s last 13 starts, and if he gets some offense L.A. will be set up nicely for the win. Give me the Dodgers.