Indians vs. Blue Jays - 10/14/16 MLB ALCS Game One Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Toronto Blue Jays (93-73) at Cleveland Indians (97-67)
MLB Baseball: Friday, October 14, 2016 at 8:08 pm (Progressive Field)
M Estrada (10-9) (3.37) vs. Kluber
The Line: Cleveland Indians -145 / Toronto Blue Jays +135 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
The Toronto Blue Jays and Cleveland Indians play game one of the ALCS Friday night at Progressive Field on TBS.
The Toronto Blue Jays have won four straight postseason games and are coming off a quick sweep over the Texas Rangers. The Blue Jays have really woken up offensively, as Toronto has four players with at least six hits and have hit a total of 10 home runs in four games. Edwin Encarnacion and Troy Tulowitzki have combined for 12 RBI while Josh Donaldson has nine hits in 18 at bats. The Toronto Blue Jays are one of the scarier offenses in the league when those bats are hot, and right now John Gibbons has to feel great about his club. The Blue Jays have won 11 of their last 12 games when scoring more than three runs. Pitching wise, Marco Estrada gets the nod, and he was 9-9 with a 3.48 ERA and 165 strikeouts this season. Estrada is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 30 strikeouts in his postseason career.
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The Cleveland Indians are coming off an impressive sweep over the Boston Red Sox. The Indians pitching staff quited down the best offense in baseball, as Cleveland allowed seven runs and 21 hits while striking out 31 batters in 27 innings of work. The Indians have allowed just three runs in their last 18 innings and have now won five straight games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Jose Ramirez leads the Indians with five hits on 10 at bats, while Lonnie Chisenhall and Jason Kipnis have combined for seven RBI. The Cleveland Indians continue to put guys on base and find different ways to score runs. For this game, Corey Kluber takes the hill, and he was 18-9 with a 3.14 ERA and 227 strikeouts this season. Kluber is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and seven strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day and 9-3 in Estradas last 12 road starts. The Indians are 19-7 in their last 26 games following an off day and 19-7 in Klubers last 26 starts. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Both the Indians and Blue Jays are confident teams at the moment after completing sweeps in the first round. Although I'm going to side with the Toronto Blue Jays and the plus money here. Not only is the Blue Jays offense more deadly and is firing on all cylinders at the moment, but Kluber has allowed 14 of his 22 home runs at home. Kluber has lost just one game since August, but he has allowed seven earned runs in 9.3 innings this season against the Blue Jays. Also, Estrada has allowed just three combined runs in his last 27.1 innings of work. The Blue Jays have also won five of their last seven road games Estrada has pitched.
There's just too much value with the Blue Jays and the plus money with the way they're playing. I like the Blue Jays to remain unbeaten in this years postseason.