UFC on Fox 9: Johnson Vs. Benavidez
UFC on Fox 9: Johnson Vs. Benavidez
December 14, 2013 @ 4:30ET
TV: 1 prelim fight on Facebook starting at 4:30ET, Undercard starts at 5:00ET on Fox Sports 1, Main card starts at 8:00ET on Fox
The UFC returns to Fox for the 9th time as Demetrious "Mighty Mouse" Johnson looks to defend his title in consecutive fox shows. Demetrious last fought John Moraga on UFC on Fox 8 where he defended his title but now looks to continue his streak in a rematch against Joseph Benavidez. These two fighters met in the inaugral flyweight tournament final where Demetrious Johnson won via decision thus making him champ. The event will be held at Sleep Train Arena formerly known as ARCO arena in Sacramento, California, which happens to be the home of Team Alpha Male, who will be fully represented as 4 of their fighters will be on the card. Sacramento hosted a bulk of the WEC events and this card defintely has a WEC vibe to it, with all fights being 170 lb and lower. The card has been hit with a lot of injuries but I think it's still a pretty good card and it will be the last free UFC card of 2013. I will breakdown the main card give you my picks and below that I will include my picks for the undercard highlighted below.
Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Spor
Demetrious "Mighty Mouse" Johnson (18-2-1) Vs. Joseph Benavidez (19-3)
Demetrious Johnson comes in as the slight favorite at -130, while Benavidez the underdog at +110. Based on their first fight this line seems about right, the two matchup very close and I imagine this fight to be similar to their last. Benavidez has looked great in his last two fights, ending them both with TKO stoppages. The question will be can Benavidez catch the ultra fast Demetrious Johnson early, my guess will be probably not, as Mighty Mouse is so quick on his feet and manages ways to elude you. While there is some value on Benavidez, who is fighting at home, my lean would be towards a Demetrious Johnson decision, DJ has proved in the past he can beat Benavidez and has shown the heart of a champion, especially in the championship rounds.
Urijah "The California Kid" Faber (29-6) Vs. Michael "Mayday" McDonald (16-2)
Old school meets new school as 34-year old Urijah Faber takes on 22-year old Michael McDonald in the co-main event. Urijah is the favorite at -145 and McDonald the underdog at +125, this is a battle of 2 top 5er's in the bantamweight division with title-shot implications. While I like McDonald as a prospect in the division, I think Faber's experience and wrestling skills will get him the win in this fight. McDonald is going to try to keep this fight standing for as long as he can but i'm not sure how successful he will be at defending the Faber takedown. My lean is towards Urijah Faber via decision.
Chad "Money" Mendes (15-1) Vs. Nik "The Carney" Lentz (24-5-2)
Chad Mendes is the biggest favorite on the card at -850 as he faces off with Nik Lentz the underdog at +575. This will be Lentz's biggest fight of his career and has looked pretty good at since dropping down to featherweight. Mendes on the other hand has won his last four via KO/TKO and his only loss comes against Jose Aldo. Lentz is super tough and is more suited at 145 but I think Mendes will be too much for him. I think this fight has the best chance at knockout of the night. I would suggest playing Mendes in a parlay, and don't be surprised if the line moves up all the way to 10 to 1 come fight night.
Joe Lauzon (22-9) Vs. Mac Danzig (21-11-1)
Both Lauzon and Danzig are coming off consecutive losses and depending on their performance on Saturday their jobs might be on the line. Joe Lauzon is the favorite in this at -175 and Mac Danzig the underdog at +155. This is an intriguing matchup as both fighters are better on the ground and that will probably be the key factor. If the fight goes to the ground, which i'm assuming it will, I think Lauzon has a slight edge. Either way I think were in for a great battle and possibly a fight of the night candidate. My lean is towards Lauzon via decision.
Court McGee (-120) Vs. Ryan LaFlare (-120)
Edson Barboza (-320) Vs. Danny Castillo (-240)
Bobby Green (+110) Vs. Pat Healy (-150)
Scott Jorgensen (-260) Vs. Zach Makovsky (+180)
Abel Trujillo (-125) Vs. Roger Bowling (-115)
Sam Stout (-265) Vs. Cody McKenzie (+185)
Alptekin Ozkilic (-265) Vs. Darren Uyenoyama (+185)