Mauricio Rua vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira MMA Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/1/15
Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (21-6) vs. Mauricio Rua (22-10)
MMA: Saturday, August 1, 2015 at 10:00 pm (Rio de Janeiro)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Mauricio Rua and Antonio Rogerio Nogueira have their rematch Saturday in Rio de Janeiro.
Mauricio Rua enters this bout with a 22-10 record that includes losses in four of his last five fights. Rua is coming off a November loss to Ovince Saint Preux and has been knocked out in his last two matches. Rua has won 86 percent of his fights by knockout and nine percent by decision. Rua is averaging 3.6 significant strikes per minute and has an accuracy percentage of 51 percent. Rua has a 2.28 takedown average and a takedown accuracy percentage of 48.2 percent. Shogun once was considered one of the better fighters in the word, but injuries and a loss of athleticism have caught up to him. Still, Rua is quite experienced and still packs punching power which is why his last seven fights have ended in a knockout. This will be Rua’s seventh time fighting in Brazil.
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Antonio Rogerio enters this fight with a 21-6 record and is coming off a 2014 loss to Anthony Johnson. Rogerio has won 43 percent of his fights by decision and has split his last six matches. Rogerio has not fought in a year, which should help at 39 years old. Rogerio is averaging 2.28 significant strikes per minute and has an accuracy percentage of 33.5 percent. Rogerio has a takedown average of 0.79 and has a takedown accuracy percentage of 44.8 percent. Little Nog is a defensive fighter who will look to have much of this fight on the canvas where he can still excel at a high level. Rogerio does a good job of escaping submissions and has proven he has good conditioning to go the distance. This will be Rogerio’s second time fighting in Brazil.
When these two met back in 2005, Rua won by unanimous decision. Not sure that means much 10 years later, but this time he’ll also have the home crowd of Brazil behind him.
Bottom line is that neither fighter is in great form. However, Rua is a lot younger and should have the advantage if he’s healthier than he’s been in the past. Nogueira is still no slouch despite his age, but if forced to pick, I’m going with Rua.