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Yves Jabouin vs. Felipe Arantes MMA Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/23/15

Felipe Arantes (16-7-1) vs. Yves Jabouin (20-9)

MMA: Sunday, August 23, 2015 at 10:00 pm (SaskTel Centre)

The Line: Arantes -190 / Jabouin +165 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX Sports 1

Yves Jabouin and Felipe Arantes fight Sunday night at the SaskTel Centre during UFC Fight Night.

Yves Jabouin enters this fight with a 20-9 record and has won 55 percent of his fights by knockout. Jabouin has split his last six fights and is coming off a April loss to Thomas Almeida. Jabouin is averaging 3.12 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 41 percent. Jabouin is averaging 1.78 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 57.1 percent. Jabouin a striker at heart with excellent range and can land a wide variety of punches and kicks. Jabouin is defending 63 percent of his strikes and has 11 knockout victories, none of which have come since 2008. Jabouin has improved as a grappler and is defending more than 80 percent of takedowns, but he can still show weakness on the canvas. Jabouin has lost three submissions. This will be Jabouin’s 24th fight in Canada.

Yves Jabouin vs. Felipe Arantes MMA Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/23/15

USA TODAY Sports

Felipe Arantes enters this fight with a 16-7-1 record and has won 38 percent of his fights by knockout. Arantes has split his last four fights and is coming off an October loss to Andre Fili. Arantes is averaging 2.67 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 49 percent. Arantes is averaging 1.44 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 60 percent. Arantes has proven to be a well balanced fighter who has at least four wins in all three categories. Arantes has proven to be solid in his grappling, and he’s defending 64 percent of his strikes. Despite never being knocked out, Arantes has shown to be least effective against above-average strikers. This will be Arantes’ first career fight in Canada.

This is an interesting line, especially with Jabouin fighting in his backyard where he’s won seven of his last 10 fights in Canada. Arantes may be the more balanced fighter, but Jabouin is certainly no slouch and has the fan support heading into this one.

Call me crazy, but I’m calling the upset here, as I think Jabouin can land a couple of good strikes that turn this fight in his favor.

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Yves Jabouin

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