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Norifumi Yamamoto vs. Matt Hobar MMA Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/26/15

Matt Hobar vs. Norifumi Yamamoto

MMA: Sunday, September 26, 2015 at 10:00 pm (Saitama Super Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX Sports 1

Norifumi Yamamoto and Matt Hobar fight Saturday night at Saitama Super Arena during UFC Fight Night.

Norifumi Yamamoto enters this fight with a 18-6 record and has won 72 percent of his fights by knockout. Yamamoto has lost three of his last four bouts and is coming off a February no contest against Roman Salazar. Yamamoto is averaging 2.09 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 45.1 percent. Yamamoto is averaging 0.41 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 22.2 percent. Yamamoto is an accurate striker with 13 knockouts under his belt. While not much of a grappler, Yamamoto is dangerous when in his comfort zone and just needs to land that one punch. The downside is that Yamamoto isn’t getting better at 38 years old and hasn’t won a fight since 2010. This will be Yamamoto’s 22nd career fight in Japan, his home country.

Norifumi Yamamoto vs. Matt Hobar MMA Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/26/15

USA TODAY Sports

Matt Hobar enters this fight with a 9-3 record and has won 44 percent of his fights by submission. Hobar has split his last four fights and is coming off a December loss to Sergio Pettis. Hobar is averaging 3.23 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.2 percent. Hobar is averaging 3.66 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 44.4 percent. Hobar is an aggressive striker and defends nearly 53 percent of his strikes, but he’s at his best when the fight goes to the canvas. Hobar averages nearly four takedowns per match and likes to wear his opponent down over time. The concern with Hobar is that he hasn’t fought since December and isn’t nearly as experienced as his opponent. This is Hobar’s first career fight in Japan and second out of the United States.

Although Yamamoto will be the crowd favorite, he’s old, washed up and hasn’t won a fight in five years. Also, Hobar is far more balanced and will take this fight to the canvas whenever he can.

Look for Hobar to win this fight.

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Matt Hobar

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