Ryan Bader vs. Rashad Evans MMA Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/3/15
Rashad Evans vs. Ryan Bader
MMA: Sunday, October 3, 2015 at 10:00 pm (Toyota Center)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Ryan Bader and Rashad Evans fight Saturday night in UFC 192 at the Toyota Center.
Ryan Bader enters this fight with a 20-4 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by decision. Bader has won four straight fights and is coming off a January win over Phil Davis. Bader is averaging 2.55 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 40.6 percent. Bader is averaging 3.59 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 43.9 percent. Bader is defending nearly 72 percent of his strikes and has been on a roll lately. Bader is at his best with his ground-and-pound game where he can control rounds and wear his opponent down over time. The concern with Bader is that he’s always vulnerable to a nasty strike, as he has been knocked out twice since 2012. This is Bader’s first career fight in Texas.
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Rashad Evans enters this fight with a 24-3-1 record and has won 42 percent of his fights by decision. Evans has split his last four fights and is coming off a 2013 victory over Chael Sonnen. Evans is averaging 2.13 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 38.8 percent. Evans is averaging 3.34 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 48 percent. Evans is a former champ for a reason, as he’s extremely well balanced and uses his strikes to set up his takedowns. Evans is one of the more accurate grapplers in UFC and is also defending nearly 65 percent of his strikes. Of course, the concern with Evans is that he hasn’t had a fight in two years due to a lingering knee injury. This is Evans’ first career fight in Texas.
This is a tough match to predict simply because of Evans’ injury and the fact we haven’t seen him since 2013. Meanwhile, Bader has been on a nice roll lately and having some of his most consistent success of his career.
Based on what we know and the fact we’re putting money down, I have to side with Bader here due to not knowing what to expect from Evans.