Dennis Bermudez vs. Tatsuya Kawajiri UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 2/21/16
Tatsuya Kawajiri vs. Dennis Bermudez
UFC: Sunday, February 21, 2016 (Consol Energy Center)
The Line: Dennis Bermudez -325 / Tatsuya Kawajiri +265 Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds
Tatsuya Kawajiri and Dennis Bermudez fight Sunday night at UFC Fight Night 83 in the Consol Energy Center.
Tatsuya Kawajiri enters this fight with a 35-8-2 record and is winning 37 percent of his fights by decision. Kawajiri has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a December win over Jason Knight. Kawajiri is averaging 2.15 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46.8 percent. Kawajiri is averaging 3.82 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 52.8 percent. Kawajiri is still getting the job done despite approaching 38 years old, as he remains in great shape and is able to wear down his opponent. Kawajiri will want to take advantage of his grappling game, as four of his last seven wins have been by submission. The downside is the Kawajiri can’t trade strikes with Bermudez if he has any shot at an upset. This is Kawajiri’s first fight in Pennsylvania.
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Dennis Bermudez enters this fight with a 15-5 record and is winning 47 percent of his fights by decision. Bermudez has split his last four fights and is coming off a July loss to Jeremy Stephens. Bermudez is averaging 4.45 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.9 percent. Bermudez is averaging 41.7 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 42 percent. Bermudez is a very aggressive striker who is also defending nearly 57 percent of his strikes. Bermudez is also a polished and comfortable wrestler who is defending 92.8 percent of his takedowns. The downside is that Bermudez hasn’t won a fight since July of 2014 and has been submitted four times in his career. This will be Bermudez’s seventh fight in Pennsylvania.
It’s tough to turn down the big plus money and a fighter who is as experienced as Kawajiri. However, Bermudez is the far more balanced fighter and is more than capable of winning standing up or fighting Kawajiri’s fight on the matt. Bermudez should be able to snap his two-fight losing streak due to the variety of ways he can beat up on the Crusher.
I like Bermudez to get the job done here.