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Corey Anderson vs. Tom Lawlor UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 3/5/16

Tom Lawlor vs. Corey Anderson

UFC: Saturday, March 5, 2016 (MGM Grand Garden Arena)

The Line: Tom Lawlor +250 / Corey Anderson -300 Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: PPV

Corey Anderson and Tom Lawlor fight late Saturday night at the MGM Grand Garden Arena.

Corey Anderson enters this fight with a 8-1 record and has won 63 percent of his fights by decision. Anderson has won two his last three fights and is coming off a November win over Fábio Maldonado. Anderson is averaging 5.37 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 47 percent. Anderson is averaging 4.73 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Anderson is a balanced fighter who is an accurate striker and averaging nearly five takedowns. Anderson is also defending an impressive 57.5 percent of his strikes and has an insane 79-inch reach. The concern with Anderson is that he’s slow with his takedowns and has yet to get a submission victory. This will be Anderson’s fourth fight in Las Vegas.

Corey Anderson vs. Tom Lawlor UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 3/5/16

USA TODAY Sports

Tom Lawlor enters this fight with a 9-5 record and has won 44 percent of his fights by knockout. Lawlor has won three of his last four fights and is coming off a July win over Gian Villante. Lawlor is averaging 2.58 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 44.7 percent. Lawlor is averaging 2.73 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 30.6 percent. Lawlor enters this fight in solid form with a couple of knockout victories under his belt recently. Lawlor is an above-average defender and a pretty accurate striker for the most part. The concern is Lawlor isn’t the best grappler in the world and has been submitted twice since 2010. This will be Lawlor’s third fight in Las Vegas.

I think the odds on this fight are spot on, as Anderson is too polished of a fighter and too physical & accurate with his strikes for a guy like Lawlor to keep up. Even with some decent wins under his belt recently, the bottom line is that Lawlor struggles against above-average fighters.

Look for Anderson to get one win away from double digits.

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Corey Anderson

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