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Brendan O'Reilly vs. Alan Jouban UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 3/19/16

Alan Jouban vs. Brendan O'Reilly

UFC: Saturday, March 19, 2016 (Brisbane Entertainment Centre)

The Line: Brendan O'Reilly +385 / Alan Jouban -485 Over/Under: 1.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Brendan O'Reilly and Alan Jouban fight Saturday at the Brisbane Entertainment Centre.

Brendan O'Reilly enters this fight with a 6-1-1 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by decision. O'Reilly has split his last two fights and is coming off a May win over Vik Grujic. O'Reilly is averaging 1.9 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.2 percent. O'Reilly is averaging three takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 46.1 percent. O'Reilly is still a question mark, as he split his first two UFC matches and hasn’t fought many respectable fighters in his young career. On the flipside, O'Reilly is a well conditioned fighter with a decent ground game and the ability to end fights on the canvas. We’ll learn more about O'Reilly in this bout. O'Reilly has fought most of his career in Australia, his home country.

Brendan O'Reilly vs. Alan Jouban UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 3/19/16

USA TODAY Sports

Alan Jouban enters this fight with a 12-4 record and has won 75 percent of his fights by knockout. Jouban has split his last four fights and is coming off a October loss to Albert Tumenov. Jouban is averaging 4.64 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50.8 percent. Jouban is averaging 0.38 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 100 percent. Jouban is an impressive striker who delivers accurate blows and is also defending 62.7 percent of his opponent's strikes. Jouban is very dangerous on his feet despite being knocked out in his last fight. The downside is that Jouban has a limited ground game and has just one submission victory. This will be Jouban’s first fight in Australia.

We haven’t seen enough good from O'Reilly to give him much of a chance in this fight. Jouban is by far the more polished fighter and has a striking game that should give the Australian trouble. I’m not sure how O'Reilly stands a chance in this fight.

Look for the American to get the job done on his opponents soil.

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Alan Jouban

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