Ben Rothwell vs. Junior dos Santos UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 4/10/16
Junior dos Santos vs. Ben Rothwell
UFC: Sunday, April, 10 2016 (Arena Zagreb)
The Line: Junior dos Santos -115 / Ben Rothwell -105 Over/Under: 1.5 See the Latest Odds
Ben Rothwell and Junior dos Santos fight Sunday in UFC Fight Night 86 at the Arena Zagreb.
Ben Rothwell enters this fight with a 36-9 record and has won 75 percent of his fights by knockout. Rothwell has won his last four fights and is coming off a January win over Josh Barnett. Rothwell is averaging 2.85 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 43.4 percent. Rothwell is averaging 1.02 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 36.3 percent. Rothwell is a big fighter who is most dangerous on his feet and is capable of landing powerful strikes that have produced knockouts in three of his last five fights. Rothwell has also improved his ground game that’s produced back-to-back wins by submission. The downside is that Rothwell isn’t the best defensive fighter and is prone to strikes. This will be Rothwell’s first fight in Croatia.
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Junior dos Santos enters this fight with a 17-4 record and has won 76 percent of his fights by knockout. Dos Santos has split his last six fights and is coming off a December loss to Alistair Overeem. Dos Santos is averaging 4.66 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46.6 percent. Dos Santos is averaging 0.48 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 62.5 percent. After being one of the top fighters in the sport, Dos Santos has been a real hit or miss lately, which includes being knocked out twice in his last three fights. The good news for Junior dos Santos is that he is still a quality striker who is also defending nearly 54 percent of his opponent's strikes. Still, Dos Santos has a lot to prove this fight after looking sloppy as of late. This will be Dos Santos’ first fight in Croatia.
Rothwell is in far better form entering this fight, but Dos Santos is the better striker in a fight that’s likely going to result in somebody getting knocked out. However, can we trust Dos Santos after seeing him get knocked out twice?
I may hate myself after this but I’m taking Dos Santos due to him being the better striker in a fight where neither guy wants to go to the canvas.