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Court McGee vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 4/16/16

Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Court McGee

UFC: Saturday, April 16, 2016 (Amalie Arena)

The Line: Santiago Ponzinibbio -155 / Court McGee +125 Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

Court McGee and Santiago Ponzinibbio fight late Saturday night on UFC on Fox 19 at the Amalie Arena.

Court McGee enters this fight with a 18-4 record and has won 39 percent of his fights by decision. McGee has split his last six fights and is coming off a December win over Márcio Alexandre Jr. McGee is averaging 5.41 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 37.3 percent. McGee is averaging 2.16 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 29 percent. McGee isn’t accurate with his strikes and isn’t the most successful fighter when it comes to takedowns. There’s a reason for better or worse, McGee’s last seven fights have ended in decision. McGee doesn’t have a ton of power and doesn’t do anything spectacular, he just finds ways to win in a real boring way. Take it for what it’s worth. This will be McGee’s first fight in Florida.

Court McGee vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 4/16/16

USA TODAY Sports

Santiago Ponzinibbio enters this fight with a 22-3 record and has won 55 percent of his fights by knockout. Ponzinibbio has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a December win over Andreas Ståhl. Ponzinibbio is averaging 3.78 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 37.1 percent. Ponzinibbio is averaging 0.34 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 16.6 percent. Ponzinibbio has some impressive power in his strikes and three of his last five wins have come by knockout punches. Ponzinibbio doesn’t want to grapple or wrestle much, he rather land combos and eventually put his opponent to sleep. The downside with Ponzinibbio is that he has been knocked out twice, so it’s not like his chin is unbeatable against decent strikers. This will be Ponzinibbio’s second fight in Florida.

This is a huge mismatch for McGee, as he has nothing to counter Ponzinibbio’s power and striking ability. Ponzinibbio has all the offense to either win each round or end this thing at some point. McGee has nothing to really stand a chance in this fight.

Look for Ponzinibbio to win his fourth fight since 2014.

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Santiago Ponzinibbio

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