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Demetrious Johnson vs. Henry Cejudo UFC 197 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 4/23/16

Henry Cejudo vs. Demetrious Johnson

UFC: Saturday, April 23, 2016 (MGM Grand Garden Arena)

The Line: Demetrious Johnson -440 / Henry Cejudo +350 Over/Under: 4.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: PPV

Demetrious Johnson and Henry Cejudo fight Saturday night during UFC 197 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena.

Demetrious Johnson enters this fight with a 22-2-1 record and has won 45 percent of his fights by decision. Johnson has won his last nine fights and is coming off a September win over John Dodson. Johnson is averaging 3.46 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 52.8 percent. Johnson is averaging 3.62 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 53 percent. Johnson remains one of the more balanced fighters in the Flyweight division and seems to improve every fight. Johnson is a very accurate striker and defends strikes at a high percentage, but he’s also very successful with his takedowns and has won three of his last six bouts by submission. The one concern with Johnson is that he’s going up against an elite wrestler. This will be Johnson’s sixth fight in Las Vegas.

Demetrious Johnson vs. Henry Cejudo UFC 197 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 4/23/16

USA TODAY Sports

Henry Cejudo enters this fight with a 10-0 record and has won 60 percent of his fights by submission. This will be Cejudo’s fourth fight since 2015, and he’s coming off a November win over Jussier Formiga. Cejudo is averaging 3.78 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46.2 percent. Cejudo is averaging  2.25 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 33.3 percent. Cejudo is as polished of a wrestler as you’ll find, as he has four state championships and a 2008 Olympic gold medal for his efforts. Cejudo has yet to win a fight by submission, but he knows how to take fighters out of their comfort zone and wear them down over the course of the fight. The concern for Cejudo is that he’s not an accurate or highly effective striker, so he needs this fight on the canvas. This will be Cejudo’s first fight in Las Vegas.

This is going to be an interesting challenge for Mighty Mouse, as it doesn’t get much better from a wrestling standpoint than Cejudo. There’s also a lot of confidence with Cejudo considering he’s never lost. I really want to go with the upset based on the value. However, if we’re trying to pick a winner, Johnson should find a way to get this done.

Johnson is too quick, smart and too balanced to lose to a one-trick pony.

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Demetrious Johnson

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