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Yan Cabral vs. Reza Madadi UFC Fight Night 87 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/8/16

Reza Madadi vs. Yan Cabral

UFC: Sunday, March 8, 2016 (Ahoy Rotterdam)

The Line: Yan Cabral -175 / Reza Madadi +155 Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Yan Cabral and Reza Madadi fight Sunday at the Ahoy Rotterdam during UFC Fight Night 87.

Yan Cabral enters this fight with a 12-2 record and has won 92 percent of his fights by submission. Cabral has split his last four fights and is coming off a November loss to Johnny Case. Cabral is averaging 1.89 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 51.3 percent. Cabral is averaging 3.21 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 44.8 percent. Cabral has been a hit or miss since joining the UFC in 2013, but he’s still a very dangerous fighter due to his ability to finish fights on the canvas. Only three of Cabral’s 14 fights haven’t ended in submissions, and two of those fights he lost. Cabral is always looking to get the fight on the mat, and he’s money when that happens. The concern with Cabral is when he doesn’t get the fight on the canvas, as his striking game isn’t that effective. This will be Cabral’s first fight in the Netherlands.

Yan Cabral vs. Reza Madadi UFC Fight Night 87 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/8/16

USA TODAY Sports

Reza Madadi enters this fight with a 13-4 record and has won 62 percent of his fights by submission. Madadi has split his last four fights and is coming off an October loss to Norman Parke. Madadi is averaging 3.02 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 49.4 percent. Madadi is averaging 3.44 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 37.9 percent. This will Madadi’s second fight since 2013 after being released from jail for theft. Madadi is a terrific athlete with an effective striking game and a very strong takedown defense. Madadi also knows how to finish fights with five of his last eight wins coming by submission. The concern with Madadi is obvious ring rust with this being just his second fight in three years. This will be Madadi’s second fight in the Netherlands.

It’s really tough to bet against Cabral with his ability to finish fights the way he does. We obviously hasn’t seen much from Madadi recently, and that hurts his chances in terms of betting. I can’t bet on a guy who I don’t know what I’m getting. We know Cabral is a submission master and has bounced back nicely after a UFC loss.

I like Cabral to win this fight.

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Yan Cabral

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