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Fabricio Werdum vs. Stipe Miocic UFC 198 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/14/16

Stipe Miocic vs. Fabricio Werdum

UFC: Saturday, March 14, 2016 (Arena da Baixada)

The Line: Fabricio Werdum -160 / Stipe Miocic +140 Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: PPV

Fabricio Werdum and Stipe Miocic fight Saturday night during UFC 198 at the Arena da Baixada.

Fabricio Werdum enters this fight with a 20-5-1 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by submission. Werdum has won his last six fights and is coming off a June win over Cain Velasquez. Werdum is averaging 3.29 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50.8 percent. Werdum is averaging 1.8 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 32.5 percent. Werdum has been on a tear since returning to UFC with six straight wins, and four of those victories have come by stoppage. Werdum has displayed an accurate and powerful striking attack while he’s still a threat to end a fight on the canvas with four of his last nine wins coming by submission. Werdum hasn’t lost a fight in nearly five years. This will be Werdum’s fifth fight in Brazil, his home country.

Fabricio Werdum vs. Stipe Miocic UFC 198 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/14/16

USA TODAY Sports

Stipe Miocic enters this fight with a 14-2 record and has won 71 percent of his fights by knockout. Miocic has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a January win over Andrei Arlovski. Miocic is averaging 4.87 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 49.6 percent. Miocic is averaging 2.14 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 34 percent. Miocic has been quietly climbing up the rankings and should be taken seriously. Miocic has the power to end a fight with one swing as a former Golden Gloves participant and the college wrestling background to hold his own on the canvas. Miocic is a technical striker who has shown many times he makes fighters with weak chins pay the price. This will be Miocic’s second fight in Brazil.

Strikers such as Miocic always have the ability to pull off the upset due to their power and ability to land just one punch to change the whole fight. However, Werdum is the more balanced and polished fighter, and he has no clear weakness Miocic is able to take advantage of.

I like Werdum to win his seventh fight in a row.

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Fabricio Werdum

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