Mauricio Rua vs. Corey Anderson UFC 198 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/14/16
Corey Anderson vs. Mauricio Rua
UFC: Saturday, March 14, 2016 (Arena da Baixada)
The Line: Mauricio Rua +180 / Corey Anderson -220 Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds
Mauricio Rua and Corey Anderson fight Saturday night during UFC 198 at the Arena da Baixada.
Mauricio Rua enters this fight with a 23-10 record and has won 83 percent of his fights by knockout. Rua has lost four of his last six fights and is coming off a August win over Antônio Rogério Nogueira. Rua is averaging 3.6 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 51.2 percent. Rua is averaging 2.26 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 47.7 percent. Rua may be coming off a nice win last year, but he’s clearly on the downside of his career at 34 and hasn’t won back-to-back fights since 2009. While Rua has six losses since 2011, he’s still a deadly striker who has produced seven knockouts in his last eight wins. Rua may be a shell of himself at this point, but he’s still a dangerous fighter due to his striking attack. This will be Rua’s eight fight in Brazil, his home country.
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Corey Anderson enters this fight with a 9-1 record and has won 56 percent of his fights by decision. Anderson has won his last three fights and is coming off a March win over Tom Lawlor. Anderson is averaging 5.03 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 45 percent. Anderson is averaging 3.98 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 47.6 percent. Anderson is a fighter on the rise at just 26 years old and is taking on his fourth fight since September. Anderson has an improved and accurate striking attack but is more of a grinder than anything, as he uses his wrestling background to wear down his opponent and win ugly fights. Some would call Anderson a boring fighter, but he’s effective and has a chance to go 5-1 in UFC. This will be Anderson’s second fight in Brazil and second outside the United States.
Rua is in awful form overall, and it’s hard seeing him hang with the younger and better conditioned Anderson who is more than willing to take this fight to the canvas for 15 minutes and win another ugly decision. Rua is all strikes and isn’t capable of hanging with the younger and more athletic fighter for three full rounds. This is likely going to be a boring fight, but Anderson will certainly take it for his fourth straight victory.
Look for the American to win yet again.