Ronaldo Souza vs. Vitor Belfort UFC 198 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/14/16
Vitor Belfort vs. Ronaldo Souza
UFC: Saturday, March 14, 2016 (Arena da Baixada)
The Line: Ronaldo Souza -320 / Vitor Belfort +260 Over/Under: 1.5 See the Latest Odds
Ronaldo Souza and Vitor Belfort fight Saturday night during UFC 198 at the Arena da Baixada.
Ronaldo Souza enters this fight with a 22-4 record and has won 59 percent of his fights by submission. Souza has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a December loss to Yoel Romero. Souza is averaging 2.19 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 43.4 percent. Souza is averaging 3.49 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 45 percent. Souza has really shined since joining the UFC in 2013 and even his loss Romero was really controversial before the drug test. Souza has proven himself as a submission specialist who always has the advantage on the canvas, but he’s improved his striking game over the years and is defending nearly 65 percent of strikes. Even at 36, Souza is a scary fighter in the middleweight division. This will be Souza’s 10th time fighting in Brazil, his home country.
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Vitor Belfort enters this fight with a 25-11 record and has won 72 percent of his fights by knockout. Belfort has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a November win over Dan Henderson. Belfort is averaging 1.58 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 47.7 percent. Belfort is averaging 1.23 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 60 percent. Belfort is a fighter who continues to stick around despite being 39 years old and being linked to failed drug tests. Belfort still finds ways to win, and it starts with his crazy striking power as his last four victories have come by knockout. Belfort is also highly effective with his takedowns and has a decent enough grappling game to hold his own if need be. This will be Belfort’s seventh fight in Brazil, his home country.
I think this is a decent sized mismatch, as Souza is the bigger, stronger and younger fighter in this spot. Belfort doesn’t have the ground game to compete with the crafty Souza and may lack the stamina at damn near 40 years old. Souza is just too balanced of a fighter and should be able to get the job done here.
I like Souza to stay hot on his UFC journey that’s been very impressive.