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Erik Koch vs. Shane Campbell UFC Fight Night 88 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/29/16

Campbell vs. Koch

UFC: Sunday, May 29, 2016 (Mandalay Bay Events Center)

The Line: Campbell -190 / Koch +165 Over/Under: 1.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Erik Koch and Shane Campbell fight Sunday night at the Mandalay Bay Events Center in UFC Fight Night 88.

Erik Koch enters this fight with a 14-4 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by submission. Koch has lost three of his last four fights and is coming off a 2014 loss to Daron Cruickshank. Koch is averaging 2.38 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.8 percent. Koch is averaging 0.38 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 40 percent. Koch hasn’t fought in exactly two years due to injuries, so there’s sure to be rust. Koch wasn’t exactly in great form anyway, as he was knocked out the last time we saw him, and he’s won just one fight since 2012. Still, Koch is a polished wrestler and grappler who finishes fights on the canvas with seven submission wins under his belt. This will be Koch’s fourth fight in Las Vegas.

Erik Koch vs. Shane Campbell UFC Fight Night 88 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/29/16

USA TODAY Sports

Shane Campbell enters this fight with a 12-4 record and has won 42 percent of his fights by knockout. Campbell has won four of his last six fights and is coming off a February loss to James Krause. Campbell is averaging 4.33 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 59.2 percent. Campbell is averaging 1.72 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 36.3 percent. Campbell will fight for the second time this year after replacing the injured Joe Proctor. Campbell could use a solid performance as he’s just 1-2 in UFC fights and hasn’t looked that impressive overall. Campbell is an accurate and powerful striker with five knockouts under his belt and a strong background in kickboxing. This will be Campbell’s first MMA fight in Las Vegas.

Neither one of these guys have been that impressive lately, so this can go either way in my book. Koch is rightfully the underdog given that he hasn’t fought in two years. However, Campbell hasn’t exactly done much on the UFC level to earn such heavy juice.

I wouldn’t touch this fight, but if forced to pick, I’d side with the rested Koch simply as a fade from Campbell and the heavy line.

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Erik Koch

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