Jim Miller vs. Takanori Gomi UFC 200 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/9/16
Gori vs. Miller
UFC: Saturday, July 9, 2016 (T-Mobile Arena)
The Line Miller -225 / Gomi +185 -- Over/Under: 1.5 See the Latest Odds
Jim Miller and Takanori Gomi fight Saturday night during UFC 200 at the T-Mobile Arena.
Jim Miller enters this fight with a 25-8 record and has won 56 percent of his fights by submission. Miller has lost four of his last five fights and is coming off a March loss to Diego Sanchez. Miller is averaging 2.51 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 38.2 percent. Miller is averaging 1.66 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 43.3 percent. Miller is really in struggle mode with half of his eight losses coming in the last two years. Miller’s only win in his last five fights was a split decision last July against Danny Castillo. When in good form, Miller is an aggressive takedown artist who knows how to finish fights on the canvas. Four of Miller’s last seven wins have been decided by submission. This will be Miller’s seventh fight in Las Vegas.
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Takanori Gomi enters this fight with a 35-11 record and has won 46 percent of his fights by decision. Gomi has split his last 16 fights and is coming off a July loss to Joe Lauzon. Gomi is averaging 3.89 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 41.7 percent. Gomi is averaging 1.26 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 65.3 percent. Gomi hopes to avoid his third straight loss for the first time in his career, and you have to wonder if age is catching up to him as he’ll be 38 in September. To make matters worse, Gomi is coming off back-to-back knockout losses, the first of his career. When in good form, Gomi is an athletic striker with a good takedown percentage and is solid defensively. This will be Gomi’s third fight in Las Vegas.
These guys are a combined 3-7 in their last 10 fights, so I’m not sure how you make a pick here with both being in such poor form. Flip a coin? I’m going to call an upset here, as I think Gomi’s athleticism and sneaky attack can be the difference. Miller doesn’t move as well as Gomi and could struggle to keep up with the pace.
No strong play on here, but if forced to make a pick, I’d go with Gomi for the usept.