Johny Hendricks vs. Kelvin Gastelum UFC 200 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/9/16
Gastelum vs. Hendricks
UFC: Saturday, July 9, 2016 (T-Mobile Arena)
The Line Gastelum +145 / Hendricks -165 -- Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds
Johny Hendricks and Kelvin Gastelum fight Saturday night during UFC 200 at the T-Mobile Arena.
Johny Hendricks enters this fight with a 17-4 record and has won 47 percent of his fights by knockout. Hendricks has split his last six fights and is coming off a February loss to Stephen Thompson. Hendricks is averaging 3.59 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46.8 percent. Hendricks is averaging 4.36 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 47.3 percent. Hendricks has been hit or miss lately and is coming off a rough knockout loss. Hendricks is a better fighter than what he’s shown recently, as he’s a polished wrestler who wears down his opponent and also is an accurate striker who has four knockouts in his last nine victories. This will be Hendricks’ seventh fight in Las Vegas.
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Kelvin Gastelum enters this fight with a 12-2 record and has won 42 percent of his fights by knockout. Gastelum has split his last four fights and is coming off a November loss to Neil Magny. Gastelum is averaging 3.25 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 39.9 percent. Gastelum is averaging 1.32 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 52.9 percent. Gastelum had a busy 2015, but lost two of those three fights, both in split decisions. Gastelum has been conservative with his offensive attack lately but said he plans of starting faster in this fight. When in good form, Gastelum is a very strong striker with knockout power and has the ability to finish fights on the canvas. This will be Gastelum’s third fight in Las Vegas.
Both of these fighters have been a mixed bag the past couple of years so it’s tough to predict who is actually going to show up. However, Gastelum has lost extremely close fights while Hendricks was just knocked out in the first round. I have slightly more confidence in Gastelum to find a way to pull out a victory. It also helps we’re getting plus money.
Give me Gastelum to get a slim victory.