Darren Elkins vs. Godofredo Pepey UFC on Fox 20 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/23/16
Pepey vs. Elkins
UFC: Saturday, July 23, 2016 (United Center)
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Darren Elkins and Godofredo Pepey fight Saturday at the United Center on UFC on Fox 20.
Darren Elkins enters this fight with a 20-5 record and has won 43 percent of his fights by decision. Elkins has won four of his last six fights and is coming off a March win over Chas Skelly. Elkins is averaging 3.2 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 35 percent. Elkins is averaging 2.79 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 34.5 percent. Elkins has found some consistency as of late after hitting some rough patches a couple of years ago, and he’s won his last four fights by decision. Elkins continues to be that grind it out style fighter with a polished wrestling and grappling attack and averaging nearly three takedowns per fight. Elkins looks for three straight wins for the first time since 2012-13. This will be Elkins’ fifth fight in Chicago.
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Godofredo Pepey enters this fight with a 13-3 record and has won 62 percent of his fights by submission. Pepey has won six of his last nine fights and is coming off a March win over Andre Fili. Pepey is averaging 1.95 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 39.7 percent. Pepey is averaging 0.33 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 9.09 percent. Pepey leaves his home country of Brazil and looks to improve to 5-3 in the UFC. Pepey is a downright finisher who has won just one of his 12 victories by decision. Pepey is creative on the canvas and is always looking for a way to finish a fight whenever possible. Pepey also has some knockout power but just one KO over the last five years. This will be Pepey’s first fight in the United States.
This will be a clash between styles, as Elkins wants to wear down his opponent and win ugly, while Pepey is aggressive and looks for that one spot where his opponent is vulnerable. It’ll also be interesting to see how Pepey handles being out of his home country for the first time, as he’ll no longer be the crowd favorite.
I have to give Elkins the edge simply because he finds ways to win no matter what, and he won’t give Pepey the chance to end things on the canvas.