Holly Holm vs. Valentina Shevchenko UFC on Fox 20 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/23/16
Shevchenko vs. Holm
UFC: Saturday, July 23, 2016 (United Center)
The Line Shevchenko +350 / Holm -440 -- Over/Under: 4.5 See the Latest Odds
Holly Holm and Valentina Shevchenko fight Saturday at the United Center on UFC on Fox 20.
Holly Holm enters this fight with a 10-1 record and has won 70 percent of her fights by knockout. Holm has won five of her last six fights and is coming off a March loss to Miesha Tate. Holm is averaging 3.46 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 35.3 percent. Holm is averaging 0.5 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 100 percent. Holm is out to prove herself again after just losing her Bantamweight title in a shocking submission defeat. Holm isn’t the most comfortable on the canvas, as she likes to rely on her deep boxing and kickboxing background. Holm is one of the more powerful strikers on the women’s side and always has the advantage on her feet. This will be Holm’s first fight in Chicago.
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Valentina Shevchenko enters this fight with a 12-2 record and has won 42 percent of her fights by submission. Shevchenko has won six of her last eight fights and is coming off a March loss to Amanda Nunes. Shevchenko is averaging two significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 54 percent. Shevchenko is averaging 2.5 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Shevchenko is fighting for the fourth time since 2015, and she’s also eager to avenge a tough loss a few months ago. Shevchenko is an accurate striker with a kickboxing background, but she’s also very comfortable on the canvas and has a solid takedown percentage. Shevchenko is going to want this fight on the mat in order to have the advantage. This will be Shevchenko’s first fight in Chicago.
This fight will come down to whoever gets to put their style to work more often. If Holm has to wrestle and grapple, she’s probably going to struggle. If Shevchenko is fighting standing up, she could get knocked out for the second time. This is more of a toss-up than what the line indicates, but Holm and her knockout power is the tipping point for me in this fight.
Give me Holm to get the needed bounce back victory.