Anthony Hamilton vs. Damian Grabowski UFC 201 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/30/16
Grabowski vs. Hamilton
UFC: Saturday, July 30, 2016 (Philips Arena)
The Line -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Anthony Hamilton and Damian Grabowski fight Saturday night on UFC 201 at the Philips Arena.
Anthony Hamilton enters this fight with a 14-5 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by knockout. Hamilton has split his last six fights and is coming off a February loss to Shamil Abdurakhimov. Hamilton is averaging 4.53 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 73.1 percent. Hamilton is averaging 2.85 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 53.3 percent. Hamilton has been a mixed bag since joining the UFC a couple of years ago and hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the second time in his career. Hamilton has shown he lands his strikes at an extremely high percentage, and he’s won six of his last nine fights by knockout. Hamilton must improve his wrestling game in order to produce consistently on this level. This will be Hamilton’s first fight in Atlanta.
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Damian Grabowski enters this fight with a 20-3 record and has won 55 percent of his fights by submission. Grabowski has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a February loss to Derrick Lewis. Grabowski is averaging 0.44 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 33.3 percent. Grabowski is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Grabowski hopes to redeem himself after getting knocked out in the first round of his UFC debut. Grabowski has a good striking attack with knockout power, but he’s more comfortable on the canvas and has won eight of his last 13 fights by submission. Grabowski is a unique heavyweight who usually always has the advantage on the mat. This will be Grabowski’s first fight in Atlanta.
Hamilton has shown more of a willingness to take a fight to the canvas recently, and he also has that pure knockout power that could give Grabowski trouble as we just saw. Hamilton has also been able to bounce back nicely every time he lost a UFC fight. This seems like a bad matchup for the Polish Pitbull, especially if he’s not able to consistently take the American to the canvas.
I’m siding with Hamilton to win this fight.